NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	6.3 [522]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.6%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	2.9 [296]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -20.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.08	0.03	16	75%	0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.06	-0.02	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.02	8	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	18	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	11	38%	-0.02	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.07	-0.04	9	44%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	18	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.01	14	66%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	9	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Malik Hairston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	11	25%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.7	32.7	20.7	28.4	3.6	32.3	148.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +56.8%

SAS -11.9%

LAL +0.8%

LAL +3.0%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.3	105.7	95.4	106.0
season	15.7	15.9		107.9	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		103.4	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.8	16.2	16.3	18.9	17.3
SAS	16.5	16.5	17.2	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	64	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-7	23	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.0	15.2	0.83
Lamar Odom	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.25	12	-3	15	17.2	17.9	-0.69	16.1	13.8	2.25
Pau Gasol	78	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	17.9	12.3	5.56	15.7	16.5	-0.83
Derek Fisher	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	17.1	17.5	-0.32	16.4	15.3	1.14
Shannon Brown	25	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	2	5	15.2	18.2	-3.03	16.4	15.5	0.85
Jordan Farmar	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	7	-5	17.4	17.2	0.15	15.0	16.7	-1.70
Kobe Bryant	77	76	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	12	-15	17.8	14.0	3.75	15.6	16.7	-1.08
Sasha Vujacic	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	16.8	17.4	-0.55	14.2	15.9	-1.68
DJ Mbenga	9	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	12.3	17.9	-5.56	17.1	15.6	1.50
Josh Powell	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	17.9	17.2	0.69	13.5	16.1	-2.65

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	63	61	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.06	12	-21	33	15.5	16.5	-1.05	17.1	17.8	-0.69
Malik Hairston	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	6.0	16.1	-10.13	17.7	17.3	0.36
Garrett Temple	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	6.0	16.1	-10.13	17.7	17.3	0.36
Ian Mahinmi	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	6.0	16.1	-10.13	17.7	17.3	0.36
DeJuan Blair	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-10	11	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.1	17.7	-1.59
Keith Bogans	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-8	7	17.1	15.1	2.01	16.1	18.0	-1.92
Matt Bonner	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-6	3	15.3	16.3	-0.97	16.1	18.6	-2.49
Antonio McDyess	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	16.3	15.3	0.97	18.6	16.1	2.51
Tim Duncan	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	16.4	14.0	2.45	17.7	16.3	1.40
Richard Jefferson	47	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	6	-21	16.3	15.1	1.22	17.9	16.5	1.41
George Hill	73	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	16.2	13.7	2.46	17.8	14.2	3.56
Roger Mason Jr.	42	40	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.20	-14	5	-19	15.4	16.2	-0.82	16.8	17.7	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 98, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.05,0,0,0,0	93.0%
LAL 106, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.49,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%