NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	6.2 [595]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +21.0%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	4.2 [113]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (HOU): -21.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	9	90%	0.25	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.08	0.02	15	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.01	7	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	12	52%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Daniel Ewing	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.02	-0.01	15	76%	0.25	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.08	0.03	15	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	10	24%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	0.04	20	48%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	6	-0.18	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	27.4	16.4	24.4	2.6	44.4	142.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.2%

HOU -1.9%

LAC +3.8%

HOU -0.1%

LAC +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	110.1	102.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.6		103.3	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	17.5	14.8	17.2	15.9
HOU	15.2	16.0	18.6	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	72	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-5	15	15.6	17.1	-1.52	15.8	17.1	-1.26
Cuttino Mobley	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-4	13	15.2	18.1	-2.92	15.6	17.9	-2.33
Elton Brand	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-5	15	15.2	19.3	-4.06	15.6	18.1	-2.47
Tim Thomas	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-6	17	16.0	14.7	1.34	16.3	15.1	1.18
Daniel Ewing	15	17	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	5	-5	17.5	15.6	1.90	14.8	16.4	-1.65
Chris Kaman	57	59	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-1	7	17.0	14.0	3.00	17.1	14.3	2.82
Corey Maggette	31	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	11	-17	16.9	15.3	1.61	16.9	15.6	1.33
Aaron Williams	17	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	15.4	16.0	-0.66	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Quinton Ross	17	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	11	-17	14.9	16.1	-1.24	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Sam Cassell	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	10	-15	16.9	15.7	1.15	17.6	15.8	1.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Lucas III	17	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-9	13	18.1	15.6	2.47	19.3	15.2	4.06
Yao Ming	11	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-6	7	14.5	16.3	-1.88	15.3	16.0	-0.64
Juwan Howard	54	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.26	6	-11	17	15.5	16.9	-1.41	15.5	16.5	-1.08
Scott Padgett	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	12.5	16.7	-4.26	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Dikembe Mutombo	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.2	15.0	2.24	16.1	15.7	0.36
Bonzi Wells	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-4	3	17.4	15.2	2.23	17.1	15.1	2.01
Charles Hayes	43	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	6	-17	16.8	15.5	1.25	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Shane Battier	84	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	16.0	17.6	-1.58	16.1	13.0	3.13
Rafer Alston	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.6	18.1	-2.47	15.2	19.3	-4.06
Luther Head	76	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	5	-15	15.8	17.5	-1.70	15.5	17.6	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	93.8%
NYK 120, ORL 113	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.17,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.3%
LAL 92, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%