NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	4.7 [864]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +24.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	123		Comeback	1.5 [1146]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -7.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.09	0.00	20	67%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.02	-0.06	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	67%	0.09	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	48%	0.03	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	46%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.04	-0.03	17	68%	0.22	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	34.5	16.4	23.7	3.2	25.5	130.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +22.5%

MEM +13.4%

MEM +12.8%

MEM +0.8%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	12.3	15.0	15.3	100.9	117.1	106.0
season	13.4	15.4		106.5	106.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.1	13.1	11.6	12.7	12.3
MEM	14.1	13.6	13.7	19.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	36	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-16	16	12.5	12.3	0.27	17.2	13.9	3.32
Devean George	43	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-4	-8	12.2	12.4	-0.24	14.4	15.3	-0.98
Stephen Curry	59	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-12	8	12.5	12.1	0.44	13.8	16.4	-2.56
Chris Hunter	24	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-10	4	11.7	12.5	-0.83	13.5	15.4	-1.89
Anthony Tolliver	77	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-11	6	12.8	11.2	1.57	15.4	13.7	1.75
Corey Maggette	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-9	2	12.1	12.7	-0.57	14.9	15.0	-0.06
CJ Watson	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-3	-10	12.1	12.6	-0.45	16.4	13.4	2.94
Monta Ellis	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-6	-4	12.4	12.3	0.10	14.7	16.9	-2.27
Reggie Williams	84	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.11	-23	7	-30	12.3	12.5	-0.25	14.6	16.5	-1.89

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	83	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.23	28	-12	40	14.1	18.1	-3.96	12.7	10.7	2.03
Mike Conley	52	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-3	22	15.7	14.2	1.56	13.7	11.0	2.74
Zach Randolph	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	2	12	13.9	17.1	-3.23	12.0	13.1	-1.06
O.J. Mayo	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	5	6	14.6	16.0	-1.45	12.4	12.2	0.17
Hasheem Thabeet	26	29	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	6	4	13.7	15.4	-1.69	13.3	12.0	1.28
Darrell Arthur	56	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	7	2	16.0	13.8	2.22	12.4	12.3	0.17
Ronnie Brewer	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	9	-2	14.5	15.2	-0.74	12.0	12.6	-0.61
Marcus Williams	62	61	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	24	-32	15.5	14.3	1.20	11.4	13.7	-2.29
DeMarre Carroll	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	19.0	14.8	4.20	11.2	12.4	-1.14
Sam Young	52	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	23	-30	16.5	13.5	2.97	11.6	13.0	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 90, NJN 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIN 100, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%