NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	3.7 [1067]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +15.4%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.6 [753]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -6.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	18	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	59%	0.07	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
John Lucas III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	8	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	3	57%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	14	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	14	76%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	64%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	16	44%	0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.0	31.2	17.7	30.0	3.4	29.3	141.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +12.0%

UTA +14.2%

UTA +5.3%

UTA +17.2%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.8	15.4	95.5	111.4	104.5
season	15.6	15.9		103.6	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	17.4	15.7	14.8	15.7
UTA	17.0	16.9	13.1	21.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	10.5	16.1	-5.60	17.5	16.8	0.72
Vassilis Spanoulis	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-23	33	10.5	16.1	-5.60	17.5	16.8	0.72
Dikembe Mutombo	11	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	17.2	15.5	1.67	17.0	16.8	0.20
John Lucas III	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	13.8	16.1	-2.29	19.1	16.4	2.78
Juwan Howard	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	15.4	15.9	-0.53	17.4	16.5	0.85
Luther Head	38	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.6	15.8	-0.20	18.7	15.5	3.25
Charles Hayes	52	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	16.1	15.2	0.95	15.6	18.8	-3.20
Shane Battier	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	15.5	16.5	-0.93	16.9	16.4	0.48
Yao Ming	69	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	1	-15	15.9	15.1	0.73	16.6	17.6	-1.05
Rafer Alston	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	16.1	13.8	2.29	16.4	19.1	-2.78
Tracy McGrady	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	4	-21	16.4	13.8	2.59	16.5	17.8	-1.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.05	16	-3	19	16.7	17.3	-0.61	16.9	11.4	5.53
Carlos Boozer	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-2	17	15.6	19.8	-4.23	16.9	13.1	3.86
Derek Fisher	52	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	-1	15	15.3	19.0	-3.67	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Mehmet Okur	48	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	0	13	15.7	18.1	-2.42	17.1	14.1	2.98
Andrei Kirilenko	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	2	9	15.4	19.0	-3.60	16.7	14.2	2.46
Gordan Giricek	28	29	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	2	9	19.1	15.7	3.39	16.1	15.5	0.52
Matt Harpring	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	-1	15	18.3	15.4	2.89	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Jarron Collins	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	13	-13	18.1	15.7	2.42	14.1	17.1	-2.98
Paul Millsap	29	31	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	14	-15	20.1	15.2	4.83	13.8	16.8	-2.98
Rafael Araujo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	19.5	16.7	2.80	6.7	16.0	-9.37
Ronnie Brewer	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	17.5	16.8	0.72	10.5	16.1	-5.60
Dee Brown	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	23	-33	17.5	16.8	0.72	8.4	16.2	-7.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
GSW 107, MEM 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
OKC 98, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%