NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	4.3 [952]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +10.2%
New Jersey Nets	110		Comeback	1.1 [1163]		LVP	Michael Redd (MIL): -8.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	15	69%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Marcus Haislip	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Flip Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	15	41%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	15	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	10	52%	0.05	2	-0.01	5	0%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	5	86%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	32.8	17.0	28.3	2.5	27.4	134.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +32.7%

NJN +5.2%

NJN +3.9%

NJN +5.8%

NJN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.5	97.8	118.3	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		106.3	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		96.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.8	16.9	16.5	16.0
NJN	14.1	17.0	13.8	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Flip Murray	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	15.1	16.0	-0.91	15.2	15.2	0.07
Marcus Haislip	43	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-13	6	17.0	15.0	1.96	16.5	14.0	2.46
Kevin Ollie	36	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-14	8	17.1	15.2	1.94	16.2	14.5	1.67
Ray Allen	51	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-10	0	16.1	15.7	0.41	15.8	14.4	1.42
Dan Gadzuric	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-8	-4	15.8	16.1	-0.29	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Michael Redd	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-8	-4	16.5	15.1	1.45	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Joel Przybilla	48	48	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-10	0	15.3	16.7	-1.43	15.1	15.2	-0.08
Sam Cassell	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-4	-12	15.7	16.6	-0.85	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Anthony Mason	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-6	-8	15.5	16.7	-1.26	14.6	16.0	-1.38
Tim Thomas	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-5	-10	15.3	17.2	-1.84	14.4	16.5	-2.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	4	12	15.0	15.5	-0.47	16.1	15.7	0.45
Jason Collins	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	9	2	14.6	16.3	-1.71	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Kenyon Martin	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	1	18	14.8	16.3	-1.49	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Lucious Harris	65	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	2	16	15.0	15.7	-0.71	15.6	17.0	-1.49
Richard Jefferson	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	4	12	16.0	13.6	2.40	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Rodney Rogers	38	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	11	-2	14.4	15.7	-1.29	17.1	15.2	1.81
Anthony Johnson	53	50	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.08	8	12	-4	15.6	14.6	1.02	16.4	15.4	1.06
Aaron Williams	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	15	-10	16.4	14.6	1.85	17.0	15.5	1.50
Brian Scalabrine	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	15.4	15.2	0.24	16.3	15.9	0.39
Tamar Slay	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	15.2	15.2	0.07	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Brandon Armstrong	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	15.2	15.2	0.07	15.1	16.0	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHI 76, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
GSW 107, MEM 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%