NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	4.0 [1004]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +7.7%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	1.0 [1122]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -7.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	87%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	3	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.05
Al Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	69%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	22	51%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	57%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	13	63%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	13	58%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	14	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	4	56%	0.06	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	18	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.7	30.2	17.7	24.5	2.6	28.2	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.2%

WAS -13.3%

DET +5.0%

DET +13.5%

DET +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.3	95.6	113.5	106.0
season	15.7	16.8		102.6	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.4	16.0	15.6	15.9	16.2
DET	16.1	12.8	15.7	19.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-15	16	8.6	16.8	-8.27	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Quinton Ross	14	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-15	16	13.4	16.7	-3.29	16.7	15.6	1.14
Alonzo Gee	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	13.6	16.6	-2.93	17.9	15.5	2.38
Shaun Livingston	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-17	20	14.0	16.7	-2.72	16.3	15.7	0.66
James Singleton	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-7	0	16.3	16.1	0.19	16.4	15.0	1.40
Nick Young	29	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-7	0	16.6	16.0	0.60	17.6	15.0	2.66
Randy Foye	39	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-2	-10	18.3	14.7	3.63	14.0	17.2	-3.18
Andray Blatche	73	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-7	0	17.0	13.1	3.93	15.3	17.6	-2.29
Al Thornton	76	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-10	6	16.2	16.1	0.17	15.8	15.5	0.35
Earl Boykins	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	15.3	17.4	-2.01	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Mike Miller	63	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.03	-18	4	-22	16.6	15.3	1.28	14.7	18.4	-3.71
JaVale McGee	45	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	5	-24	16.7	15.8	0.91	15.5	16.0	-0.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.09	20	-6	26	15.7	15.9	-0.11	17.1	14.3	2.84
Ben Gordon	57	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	3	8	15.3	16.6	-1.26	15.1	18.2	-3.10
Jason Maxiell	66	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	9	-4	15.0	18.1	-3.10	16.1	16.4	-0.24
Tayshaun Prince	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	-1	16	16.8	13.9	2.94	17.7	13.4	4.27
Will Bynum	73	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	7	0	15.5	17.0	-1.48	15.8	17.8	-1.99
Austin Daye	19	20	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	3	8	16.5	15.6	0.94	16.8	16.0	0.76
Richard Hamilton	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	12	-10	14.8	17.1	-2.30	16.6	15.6	0.99
Charlie Villanueva	41	40	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	13	-12	17.1	14.6	2.48	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Kwame Brown	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	12	-10	15.8	15.8	0.04	15.2	16.3	-1.17
DaJuan Summers	9	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	18	-22	18.2	15.5	2.71	12.1	16.7	-4.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, MIN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MEM 87, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 80, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%