NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	3.6 [1083]		MVP	Raja Bell (CHA): +11.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	1.1 [922]		LVP	John Salmons (CHI): -11.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	43%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	15	44%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.00	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	14	43%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.0	26.0	15.7	23.0	2.4	27.5	124.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.9%

CHI -0.4%

CHA +3.4%

CHA +13.7%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	18.0	15.5	89.9	106.7	106.4
season	14.8	16.5		106.3	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		104.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	17.7	11.5	14.3	14.1
CHA	15.0	19.1	18.5	20.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	15.7	14.0	1.64	19.0	17.9	1.06
Anthony Roberson	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	15.7	14.0	1.64	19.0	17.9	1.06
Tyrus Thomas	66	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-11	6	14.5	13.0	1.47	19.0	15.0	3.94
Brad Miller	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-9	2	13.3	15.4	-2.07	18.1	17.8	0.32
Ben Gordon	75	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-9	2	13.8	16.1	-2.38	17.7	19.8	-2.09
Kirk Hinrich	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-4	-8	14.7	13.6	1.12	18.0	18.0	0.04
Joakim Noah	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	3	-22	14.5	13.6	0.93	16.7	19.9	-3.27
Derrick Rose	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	1	-18	14.2	13.6	0.60	18.7	15.1	3.58
John Salmons	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	13.8	15.2	-1.41	17.4	19.5	-2.14

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	54	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-1	18	17.2	19.3	-2.09	14.5	13.5	1.03
Raymond Felton	79	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	3	10	18.2	16.6	1.58	13.9	15.7	-1.82
Emeka Okafor	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	4	8	16.5	21.6	-5.10	12.7	17.4	-4.64
Gerald Wallace	63	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	6	4	17.0	20.3	-3.30	13.2	16.2	-3.09
Boris Diaw	49	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	8	0	18.2	17.8	0.35	14.4	13.7	0.65
D.J. Augustin	60	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	12	-8	19.0	16.1	2.88	14.1	14.3	-0.25
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	17.9	18.1	-0.27	13.7	14.4	-0.70
DeSagana Diop	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	11	-6	22.5	16.7	5.76	17.9	13.0	4.87
Cartier Martin	16	15	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	12	-8	18.6	17.9	0.66	16.8	13.6	3.21
Juwan Howard	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	16	-16	21.2	17.8	3.37	19.0	13.8	5.15
Alexis Ajinca	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	20.4	17.9	2.52	16.2	14.0	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, MIN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 109, DET 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
LAC 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%