NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	109		Excitement	4.2 [990]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +12.6%
Detroit Pistons	119		Comeback	1.2 [421]		LVP	Boris Diaw (SAS): -8.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	-0.00	0.09	16	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.02
Danny Green	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.07	8	94%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.02	-0.04	21	53%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	15	66%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	62%	0.11	5	-0.09	10	80%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	69%	0.06	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	26.3	17.3	30.3	2.6	26.5	128.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.0%

SAS -0.3%

DET +19.5%

SAS -8.4%

DET +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	15.8	15.4	118.5	126.6	104.1
season	15.2	15.7		106.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.4	16.2	14.0	13.3	15.1
DET	14.7	18.0	13.7	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nando De Colo	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-14	18	15.9	15.1	0.83	20.1	15.4	4.71
Aron Baynes	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	17.0	15.1	1.90	18.7	15.7	2.94
DeJuan Blair	31	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	14.6	15.4	-0.75	15.0	16.3	-1.24
Matt Bonner	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-12	14	15.1	15.2	-0.14	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Danny Green	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	14.5	16.3	-1.86	16.0	15.5	0.55
Patty Mills	12	14	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.05	-10	0	-10	18.2	14.7	3.48	16.2	15.7	0.46
Gary Neal	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	14.9	15.5	-0.57	16.0	15.5	0.49
Stephen Jackson	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	15.7	14.6	1.13	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Tiago Splitter	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.9	15.7	0.25
Boris Diaw	46	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	2	-14	15.6	14.7	0.85	16.2	15.5	0.69
Tony Parker	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.8	16.1	-1.33	15.5	16.6	-1.06
Kawhi Leonard	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	15.5	14.7	0.79	15.7	16.0	-0.25

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	67	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-2	14	15.9	15.7	0.16	15.6	13.9	1.68
Charlie Villanueva	65	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.16	10	0	10	15.8	15.8	-0.01	15.1	15.2	-0.05
Greg Monroe	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-3	16	15.7	16.5	-0.84	15.7	12.4	3.27
Jose Calderon	62	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-3	16	15.0	17.5	-2.50	15.4	14.7	0.65
Brandon Knight	73	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	15.7	16.3	-0.60	14.9	16.0	-1.13
Rodney Stuckey	48	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	7	-4	16.0	15.7	0.28	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Will Bynum	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	13	-16	17.5	15.0	2.50	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Jason Maxiell	47	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	13	-16	16.1	15.6	0.53	14.2	16.0	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 84, TOR 128	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
NOH 92, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%