inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 93 Excitement3.8 [1037] MVPTroy Hudson (MIN): +15.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 114 Comeback1.1 [1132] LVPJamal Mashburn (NOH): -17.3%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Moiso0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.000.01-0.08861%0.092-0.01250%-0.01
Stacey Augmon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Pack-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06440%-0.002-0.002100%0.00
George Lynch-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.00562%0.021-0.04667%-0.01
David Wesley-0.020,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.030.031955%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Elden Campbell-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.000.041054%-0.0300.006100%-0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00729%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.15-0.000.022340%-0.085-0.102100%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.18-0.010.011379%0.1500.002100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.021956%0.101-0.02367%-0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marc Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.00956%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Igor Rakocevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.02250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.03-0.01-0.05750%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02769%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021150%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.000.051651%-0.021-0.023100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.21.827.315.326.51.625.5119.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +47.0%
MIN +1.4%
NOH -18.2%
MIN +16.5%
MIN +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMINNBANOHMINNBA
this game16.514.115.598.9121.3101.6
season15.914.9101.6104.0
opponent15.815.6102.399.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.117.017.115.916.5
MIN12.714.912.916.114.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryce Drew10100.00-0.500.50-0.062-232514.916.7-1.8315.713.91.78
Stacey Augmon1314-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-191715.916.6-0.7116.713.63.06
Courtney Alexander2526-0.04-0.460.420.14-6-15916.816.40.3115.713.52.25
Robert Traylor3736-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-181515.117.5-2.3513.314.6-1.34
Robert Pack3030-0.12-0.380.260.14-9-12316.216.7-0.5415.713.32.39
Jerome Moiso4546-0.21-0.290.080.05-9-12316.516.6-0.1315.213.12.13
Elden Campbell5049-0.29-0.21-0.070.18-16-5-1117.615.32.2415.212.92.29
David Wesley6564-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-9-316.616.30.2713.715.0-1.36
Jamaal Magloire5657-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-14-7-716.616.40.1412.816.1-3.30
George Lynch6262-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-7-716.816.00.7613.116.0-2.87
Jamal Mashburn7776-0.550.05-0.590.10-221-2316.616.10.5813.417.2-3.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wally Szczerbiak64630.430.070.36-0.2122-12313.515.5-2.0517.115.51.61
Kevin Garnett60610.420.080.35-0.02156913.315.5-2.1416.616.40.26
Kendall Gill64630.360.140.23-0.161831514.114.2-0.1416.017.5-1.52
Troy Hudson64650.360.140.23-0.05147713.914.5-0.5816.815.90.92
Marc Jackson46450.340.160.19-0.151741313.115.0-1.9115.617.4-1.75
Gary Trent40390.210.29-0.08-0.081011-114.813.61.2116.916.20.71
Rasho Nesterovic38400.160.34-0.19-0.02615-914.913.61.2818.015.42.60
Igor Rakocevic22220.140.36-0.23-0.07714-714.014.1-0.1416.316.6-0.34
Anthony Peeler54560.070.43-0.360.13-223-2515.312.52.7516.117.2-1.05
Mike Wilks870.000.50-0.500.00021-2115.913.91.9314.716.7-1.96
Loren Woods1090.000.50-0.500.06-223-2515.713.91.7814.416.8-2.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 97, PHI 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHI 80, CHA 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
WAS 87, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%