NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	7.3 [347]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +24.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.1 [599]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -23.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	13	78%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	6	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	18	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	12	50%	-0.09
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	12	65%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	54%	0.00	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	20	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.11	-0.01	24	53%	0.08	2	-0.13	9	56%	-0.07
Lou Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	7	37%	-0.05	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	26.5	15.0	24.1	2.8	34.0	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +55.1%

CLE +1.3%

PHI -16.4%

CLE +7.9%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	16.2	15.3	111.1	108.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.1		109.5	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.0		108.4	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	15.4	17.1	17.4	16.1
PHI	15.1	15.9	16.3	17.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	57	55	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-8	21	16.9	14.9	1.95	17.5	14.0	3.55
Jamario Moon	32	34	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	16.1	16.2	-0.13	16.6	15.9	0.70
Delonte West	57	57	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	16.1	16.2	-0.15	15.8	17.0	-1.21
LeBron James	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	16.3	14.8	1.51	16.2	16.0	0.25
Anderson Varejao	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	2	1	16.0	16.4	-0.31	15.6	17.9	-2.32
Anthony Parker	41	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	-3	11	16.2	16.1	0.14	16.7	15.8	0.86
Leon Powe	28	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	3	-1	16.4	16.0	0.31	17.9	15.6	2.32
JJ Hickson	59	55	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.7	17.1	-1.35
Jawad Williams	36	35	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.12	-11	16	-27	14.9	16.9	-2.00	14.6	17.3	-2.68

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	12	11	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.09	7	-12	19	15.6	16.3	-0.73	17.0	16.0	0.97
Thaddeus Young	56	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	15.2	18.0	-2.85	16.2	16.0	0.18
Rodney Carney	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.3	16.1	1.21	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Elton Brand	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.2	15.6	0.62
Lou Williams	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	6	-17	16.7	15.4	1.26	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Andre Iguodala	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	16.2	17.0	-0.84	16.3	14.7	1.55
Willie Green	23	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	1	-7	16.0	16.3	-0.23	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Jrue Holiday	75	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.9	18.2	-2.27	16.3	14.9	1.42
Samuel Dalembert	45	48	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.22	-17	12	-29	17.5	14.8	2.70	16.3	16.0	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, SAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.02,0,0,0	91.9%
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	91.5%
NYK 95, ATL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0	91.4%