NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	80		Excitement	3.2 [1132]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +13.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.1 [909]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -7.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	12	43%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Derrick Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	12	25%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	44%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	67%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.02	0.06	13	87%	0.21	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	8	89%	0.13	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	26.5	15.7	29.8	1.8	32.2	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +62.5%

CHA -6.5%

CHA -9.9%

BOS +0.6%

BOS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.3	85.1	113.0	106.0
season	16.2	15.5		103.0	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		102.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	17.3	16.2	14.6	15.8
BOS	15.4	14.6	14.4	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	13.5	16.5	-2.96	16.3	14.8	1.48
D.J. Augustin	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-22	20	16.0	15.7	0.27	15.3	14.9	0.41
Theo Ratliff	53	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-15	6	17.2	14.0	3.18	14.1	16.4	-2.34
Derrick Brown	25	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-14	4	13.0	16.8	-3.84	16.3	14.8	1.49
Boris Diaw	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-16	8	16.5	14.5	2.01	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Stephen Graham	41	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-16	8	14.8	16.6	-1.89	16.1	14.5	1.60
Stephen Jackson	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.21	-16	-8	-8	16.9	13.7	3.15	14.7	16.1	-1.46
Tyrus Thomas	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.25	-21	-3	-18	15.0	16.8	-1.88	15.9	14.1	1.79
Raymond Felton	48	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.21	-22	-2	-20	15.7	16.0	-0.27	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Gerald Wallace	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.27	-25	1	-26	16.2	15.1	1.12	14.5	16.4	-1.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	5	14	14.5	15.9	-1.40	17.0	14.4	2.58
Kevin Garnett	45	47	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	5	14	14.3	16.0	-1.71	17.9	13.7	4.15
Rajon Rondo	52	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	10	4	14.9	15.5	-0.59	17.0	14.4	2.60
Marquis Daniels	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.25	20	4	16	15.3	14.8	0.46	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Kendrick Perkins	43	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	9	6	14.1	16.0	-1.92	17.2	14.5	2.73
Rasheed Wallace	32	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	12	0	15.4	15.0	0.45	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Ray Allen	32	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	20	-16	14.8	15.3	-0.46	17.3	15.0	2.31
Nate Robinson	40	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.14	10	14	-4	15.5	14.9	0.59	14.4	17.0	-2.60
Glen Davis	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	18	-12	15.5	15.0	0.52	14.2	16.5	-2.34
Tony Allen	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	19	-14	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.4	17.0	-2.58
Shelden Williams	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	16.7	14.7	1.94	13.1	16.5	-3.40
Brian Scalabrine	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	17.2	14.7	2.50	12.3	16.5	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 100, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 112, MIL 124	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 99, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.2%