NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	99		Excitement	4.1 [977]		MVP	Yi Jianlian (MIL): +23.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	1.0 [906]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (CHA): -9.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	-0.01	0.08	19	70%	0.09	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	15	53%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jermareo Davidson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.01	0.08	11	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	12	52%	0.01	6	-0.10	3	0%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.03	0.00	17	83%	0.27	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.01	-0.10	20	51%	0.15	4	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	48%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	27	47%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	28.5	15.5	24.2	2.5	32.5	129.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.0%

MIL +5.0%

MIL +18.5%

CHA -0.3%

CHA -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.4	105.3	110.8	105.7
season	15.8	15.8		103.1	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.1		110.7	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	13.8	15.6	11.3	14.2
MIL	15.5	15.7	18.7	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermareo Davidson	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.2	-0.17	3.0	16.8	-13.79
Jared Dudley	14	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-2	0	12.3	14.5	-2.21	12.6	17.2	-4.66
Jeff McInnis	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-2	0	12.5	14.7	-2.18	15.9	16.9	-1.03
Derek Anderson	12	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	5	-14	12.6	14.4	-1.82	10.7	17.3	-6.62
Nazr Mohammed	64	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-10	16	14.5	13.4	1.18	16.8	16.4	0.39
Matt Carroll	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-9	14	12.0	16.0	-4.01	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Raymond Felton	81	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-7	10	14.4	13.0	1.36	17.1	12.8	4.31
Jason Richardson	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	14.6	10.9	3.69	17.5	8.9	8.59
Emeka Okafor	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	11	-26	15.4	11.2	4.14	17.0	15.7	1.32
Gerald Wallace	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.4	12.2	2.25	17.1	12.4	4.65

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	81	82	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-11	26	16.6	16.7	-0.12	14.5	12.2	2.30
Mo Williams	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	16.8	12.7	4.07	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Michael Redd	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	2	0	16.8	14.6	2.21	14.3	13.2	1.09
Charlie Bell	59	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.36	2	2	0	17.4	15.3	2.13	15.0	12.8	2.26
Andrew Bogut	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	3	-2	17.2	14.8	2.43	14.8	12.2	2.64
Jake Voskuhl	24	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	3	-2	14.6	17.3	-2.72	12.7	14.8	-2.06
Bobby Simmons	36	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	2	0	15.3	17.5	-2.19	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Royal Ivey	14	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	7	-10	14.6	17.0	-2.44	13.2	14.4	-1.14
Dan Gadzuric	5	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	18.6	16.5	2.07	9.7	14.4	-4.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 72, DAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 88, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 94, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%