NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	3.8 [1062]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (MIL): +17.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	124		Comeback	1.2 [372]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -17.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	11	77%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.07	8	91%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	5	76%	0.07	1	0.00	11	91%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.01	0.10	14	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Von Wafer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	53%	0.02	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brent Barry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	1	150%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	45%	-0.00	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	9	14%	-0.15	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	15	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	13	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	18	66%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	12	72%	0.11	4	-0.05	12	83%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.5	29.3	15.5	29.4	2.3	28.3	136.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.6%

HOU -5.7%

MIL +2.7%

MIL +21.1%

HOU -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	15.5	113.1	127.8	106.4
season	16.3	15.0		105.9	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	15.9	16.3	12.4	14.7
MIL	13.5	16.1	12.5	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	53	50	0.07	-0.56	0.63	-0.32	13	-25	38	14.4	15.1	-0.71	15.3	14.1	1.15
Brent Barry	28	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.29	12	-24	36	13.3	15.2	-1.90	16.2	14.2	2.02
Charles Hayes	16	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-21	30	12.7	15.1	-2.31	15.9	14.5	1.35
Metta World Peace	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-9	6	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.7	14.7	0.06
Von Wafer	47	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-15	18	14.4	14.9	-0.54	15.4	14.1	1.30
Carl Landry	53	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-11	10	13.2	16.4	-3.18	15.0	14.4	0.60
Luis Scola	61	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	1	-14	14.6	14.8	-0.12	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Yao Ming	36	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	5	-22	16.9	13.4	3.42	14.1	15.1	-1.07
Tracy McGrady	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	5	-22	14.9	14.4	0.54	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Shane Battier	56	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	9	-30	16.0	13.0	3.06	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Rafer Alston	46	47	-0.56	0.07	-0.63	0.17	-25	13	-38	15.1	14.4	0.71	14.1	15.3	-1.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	70	71	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.33	33	-21	54	14.4	15.6	-1.18	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Luc Mbah a Moute	63	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	3	6	14.8	14.5	0.35	15.6	13.1	2.48
Charlie Villanueva	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.25	24	-12	36	14.2	15.9	-1.65	15.2	13.5	1.65
Richard Jefferson	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.27	24	-12	36	14.6	14.9	-0.34	14.8	14.4	0.44
Dan Gadzuric	38	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	0	12	14.3	14.9	-0.59	13.0	15.6	-2.65
Francisco Elson	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	7	-2	13.8	15.1	-1.29	17.0	13.7	3.32
Keith Bogans	45	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	17	-22	14.1	15.2	-1.18	13.9	15.4	-1.47
Malik Allen	25	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	21	-30	16.2	14.2	2.07	14.2	14.9	-0.63
Charlie Bell	40	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	15	-18	16.2	13.7	2.51	14.4	14.9	-0.57
Eddie Gill	15	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.41	-14	26	-40	14.9	14.7	0.20	12.5	15.1	-2.61
Joe Alexander	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	21	-30	14.8	14.7	0.17	12.5	15.0	-2.55
Damon Jones	12	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	19	-26	16.4	14.5	1.96	16.5	14.4	2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHA 80, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 88, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%