NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	4.8 [836]		MVP	Courtney Lee (NJN): +17.4%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	2.0 [96]		LVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): -17.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	12	72%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	11	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	14	79%	0.02
Terrence Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	16	55%	0.06	4	-0.04	10	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	10	70%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.02	-0.00	12	17%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.19	-0.01	0.10	16	76%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	9	89%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	35%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	25.6	16.8	26.2	2.4	36.6	136.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +8.3%

NJN +25.8%

NJN +4.9%

NJN +9.6%

NJN +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	BOS	NBA	NJN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.3	111.8	103.2	106.0
season	15.9	15.5		98.7	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	16.8	17.7	15.0	16.3
BOS	13.4	16.7	16.6	12.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	4	0	16.1	17.3	-1.16	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Chris Douglas-Roberts	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-1	10	16.0	16.6	-0.55	15.1	14.2	0.86
Yi Jianlian	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-1	10	16.7	15.6	1.16	15.6	13.4	2.25
Keyon Dooling	38	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	-2	12	16.9	15.8	1.06	15.4	14.2	1.19
Kris Humphries	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	15.9	16.6	-0.67	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Courtney Lee	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	2	4	16.8	15.4	1.39	14.8	14.6	0.23
Devin Harris	74	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	12	-16	16.1	17.1	-1.05	14.1	16.6	-2.48
Terrence Williams	13	13	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	2	4	16.4	16.2	0.13	18.8	14.0	4.82
Trenton Hassell	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	11	-14	15.7	16.9	-1.19	13.2	16.1	-2.82

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	56	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-16	24	13.0	17.3	-4.32	16.4	16.0	0.45
Kevin Garnett	57	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-16	24	13.3	17.0	-3.71	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Kendrick Perkins	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.7	0.05	16.4	16.1	0.30
Ray Allen	66	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-11	14	13.8	16.8	-2.98	15.7	17.9	-2.20
Tony Allen	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	2	-12	16.5	14.3	2.23	17.3	16.0	1.25
Rajon Rondo	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-14	20	14.6	14.8	-0.20	16.3	16.2	0.09
Brian Scalabrine	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	3	-14	16.6	13.7	2.87	16.3	16.3	0.05
Rasheed Wallace	56	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-4	0	14.7	14.7	-0.05	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Glen Davis	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	9	-26	17.2	13.3	3.90	17.1	15.8	1.38
Nate Robinson	44	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	11	-30	16.2	13.4	2.77	16.2	16.4	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, WAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 103, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
OKC 121, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	95.0%