NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	4.9 [804]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +7.4%
Washington Wizards	82		Comeback	1.5 [864]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -16.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	61%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	17	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Chris Childs	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	70%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	56%	0.07	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	62%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.03	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	12	51%	-0.07	4	-0.09	15	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	36.6	15.6	29.2	2.5	30.2	141.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.7%

WAS -2.5%

WAS -9.5%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	15.5	101.1	95.3	100.9
season	16.4	15.2		99.2	98.6
opponent	15.2	16.1		105.5	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	15.9	17.5	15.6	16.7
WAS	15.5	19.4	14.4	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-1	9	16.1	17.4	-1.30	17.8	14.4	3.38
Glen Rice	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-2	11	17.5	15.0	2.52	16.1	17.0	-0.85
Latrell Sprewell	77	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	16.7	17.3	-0.61	15.6	21.5	-5.95
Allan Houston	72	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	4	-1	16.7	16.7	0.06	16.5	15.8	0.74
Luc Longley	34	35	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	-2	11	17.0	16.6	0.47	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Kurt Thomas	36	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	1	5	17.5	16.2	1.24	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Larry Johnson	60	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	7	-7	16.6	17.0	-0.33	16.5	16.0	0.49
Travis Knight	46	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	6	-5	16.1	17.5	-1.37	17.7	15.1	2.60
Rick Brunson	5	4	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	13	-19	14.2	16.9	-2.69	14.0	16.5	-2.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.8	-1.77	18.3	16.3	2.03
Calvin Booth	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-6	5	16.1	16.6	-0.42	16.9	16.6	0.38
Tyrone Nesby	50	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-9	11	14.9	18.3	-3.39	16.5	17.1	-0.54
Richard Hamilton	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	1	-9	18.2	15.7	2.45	17.0	16.7	0.29
Gerard King	40	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.7	15.2	2.46	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Rod Strickland	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-2	-3	19.8	14.6	5.23	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Chris Whitney	57	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.6	19.8	-5.23	16.8	16.7	0.07
Felipe Lopez	64	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-8	9	15.7	18.2	-2.45	16.7	17.0	-0.29
Michael Smith	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	0	-7	17.9	15.1	2.80	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Juwan Howard	71	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	0	-7	16.3	16.7	-0.37	17.0	15.3	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0,0	95.4%
NYK 76, MIA 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 109, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%