NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	6.1 [578]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +21.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.4 [810]		LVP	Ryan Gomes (MIN): -17.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.17	0.07	0.03	16	68%	0.28	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.03
Nenad Krstic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	17	50%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	19	52%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	14	59%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.03	13	59%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	9	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	29.4	15.0	25.2	2.7	37.1	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.2%

OKC +18.1%

MIN -7.4%

OKC +4.5%

MIN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.3	107.9	108.1	106.0
season	15.0	14.7		106.2	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.5		109.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	15.0	15.1	13.9	14.4
MIN	14.6	14.4	13.7	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	79	79	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-14	30	14.7	13.1	1.66	13.8	16.9	-3.18
Thabo Sefolosha	62	62	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-11	24	14.0	15.0	-1.04	13.0	16.7	-3.65
Kevin Durant	87	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	-3	8	14.1	16.1	-1.96	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Jeff Green	85	84	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	14.9	11.7	3.13	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Nenad Krstic	43	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	-10	22	14.8	14.1	0.70	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Nick Collison	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.44	-10	12	-22	13.9	14.8	-0.88	15.4	13.6	1.81
Eric Maynor	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	10	-18	14.5	14.4	0.08	19.0	13.8	5.16
Serge Ibaka	41	39	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	9	-16	14.0	14.6	-0.57	15.4	13.8	1.64
James Harden	42	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	12	-22	14.5	14.3	0.28	16.2	13.2	2.96
Kevin Ollie	8	7	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	9	-16	13.0	14.5	-1.51	16.6	14.2	2.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	41	43	0.53	-1.03	1.55	-0.50	35	-37	72	13.0	15.4	-2.41	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Wayne Ellington	26	28	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-13	24	16.5	13.7	2.88	13.5	14.7	-1.28
Kevin Love	68	70	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.55	24	-26	50	13.2	17.2	-4.00	13.9	15.5	-1.68
Ramon Sessions	42	43	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-13	24	16.4	13.0	3.42	15.1	13.9	1.19
Damien Wilkins	56	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.58	19	-21	40	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.3	14.5	-0.12
Sasha Pavlovic	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	12.5	14.7	-2.20	14.8	14.3	0.48
Ryan Hollins	27	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	20	-42	16.2	13.7	2.44	15.3	14.0	1.24
Corey Brewer	62	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	6	-14	13.5	15.9	-2.32	14.5	14.2	0.24
Jonny Flynn	57	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	11	-24	13.0	16.4	-3.42	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Ryan Gomes	47	46	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	0.08	-27	25	-52	15.2	13.7	1.52	15.0	13.9	1.17
Al Jefferson	58	58	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	0.06	-37	35	-72	15.4	13.0	2.41	14.8	13.8	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.6%
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	92.9%
OKC 104, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.43,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	91.8%