NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	5.7 [663]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +32.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	1.1 [727]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.32	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.08	0.00	16	80%	0.32	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	7	63%	0.17	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	27%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	15	61%	0.07	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	0.01	7	53%	-0.00	7	-0.13	5	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	10	76%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.03	0.08	6	114%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	17	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	16	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	12	43%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	3.5	32.4	20.6	30.8	2.8	40.2	158.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.2%

POR -3.0%

PHX +14.6%

POR -18.6%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	17.0	15.3	111.2	101.1	106.0
season	14.4	16.7		113.5	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	16.0	15.7	18.5	15.3
POR	15.6	17.5	16.3	19.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	56	54	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.17	26	-17	43	15.9	14.4	1.53	17.8	15.8	2.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	58	57	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.14	21	-12	33	16.2	13.6	2.58	17.5	16.2	1.37
Jason Richardson	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-3	15	15.4	15.2	0.15	16.3	18.8	-2.56
Steve Nash	58	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-6	21	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.6	19.8	-4.22
Jared Dudley	52	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	14	-19	15.1	15.6	-0.46	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Jarron Collins	26	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	5	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.84	16.8	17.1	-0.31
Earl Clark	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	14.5	15.3	-0.84	23.0	17.0	6.03
Goran Dragic	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	15.4	15.3	0.09	19.8	15.6	4.22
Leandro Barbosa	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	15.1	15.4	-0.32	18.3	16.6	1.65
Lou Amundson	31	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	13	-17	14.7	15.7	-0.95	16.0	17.6	-1.57
Channing Frye	46	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	21	-33	14.6	16.1	-1.57	16.7	17.5	-0.79

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	19	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-17	25	14.0	17.9	-3.86	11.7	16.4	-4.61
Jerryd Bayless	56	56	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-17	25	16.3	18.2	-1.92	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Juwan Howard	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-12	15	17.7	16.8	0.91	16.1	15.0	1.19
Rudy Fernandez	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-8	7	19.0	16.1	2.97	16.8	14.6	2.22
Martell Webster	60	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.32	4	-13	17	16.6	17.9	-1.23	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Nicolas Batum	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	2	-13	17.4	16.9	0.48	15.4	15.3	0.08
Andre Miller	33	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	6	-21	18.2	16.3	1.92	15.7	15.1	0.59
Marcus Camby	42	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	9	-27	17.0	17.0	0.03	15.4	15.2	0.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	17.6	12.3	5.23	16.0	9.3	6.67
Brandon Roy	72	71	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.29	-16	7	-23	16.4	19.7	-3.30	14.6	18.1	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	93.6%
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	93.0%
ORL 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%