NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	4.5 [893]		MVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): +24.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	82		Comeback	2.6 [540]		LVP	Martell Webster (POR): -10.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.13	0.01	12	87%	0.33	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	61%	0.09	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shannon Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	15	58%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	9	40%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	8	59%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.0	28.4	16.0	23.2	2.7	29.3	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.4%

POR -7.3%

LAL +13.7%

LAL +4.7%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	15.9	15.3	113.8	93.2	106.0
season	15.7	16.7		107.9	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	15.4	18.2	18.3	17.1
POR	14.9	18.0	15.4	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	68	68	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.05	25	-8	33	16.7	18.3	-1.53	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Metta World Peace	72	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-2	21	16.7	18.7	-2.01	15.3	18.2	-2.85
Pau Gasol	72	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-2	21	16.3	20.8	-4.51	15.3	19.1	-3.78
Shannon Brown	68	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	16.6	18.6	-2.00	15.4	17.7	-2.30
Derek Fisher	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	2	13	16.0	19.1	-3.05	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Sasha Vujacic	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	10	-3	18.1	16.9	1.19	18.3	15.4	2.89
Jordan Farmar	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	15	-13	19.1	16.0	3.05	16.1	15.7	0.38
Josh Powell	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	21	-25	19.0	16.2	2.80	16.8	15.5	1.30
Luke Walton	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	21	-25	18.7	16.8	1.90	19.0	15.4	3.60
Andrew Bynum	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	26	-35	20.1	16.4	3.74	17.5	15.5	2.03

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Ayres	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-22	27	15.7	15.9	-0.11	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Steve Blake	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-21	25	16.1	15.7	0.43	17.8	16.6	1.11
Patty Mills	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	12.7	16.0	-3.25	15.7	17.1	-1.38
Rudy Fernandez	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-12	7	16.2	15.5	0.69	17.5	16.6	0.93
Juwan Howard	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	16.9	14.5	2.45	18.2	15.7	2.45
Jerryd Bayless	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.12	-13	-4	-9	16.0	15.7	0.31	17.3	16.9	0.44
Martell Webster	54	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-6	-5	14.9	17.4	-2.49	16.6	17.8	-1.22
Dante Cunningham	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-11	5	16.1	15.7	0.36	16.6	17.5	-0.92
Nicolas Batum	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-2	-13	15.8	15.9	-0.15	17.1	17.0	0.09
Andre Miller	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	1	-19	16.0	15.6	0.46	16.8	17.5	-0.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	5	-27	15.4	18.0	-2.59	16.5	19.9	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
ORL 109, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
WAS 96, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%