NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	5.7 [692]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +23.6%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	3.8 [162]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -22.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	10	85%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Steven Hunter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	64%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	10	77%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	14	46%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	20	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.02	-0.06	25	37%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.03	-0.01	22	67%	0.26	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	19	47%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.05	-0.03	20	24%	-0.17	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.5	16.3	24.3	1.7	33.3	128.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.3%

SAC -1.7%

PHI +5.2%

PHI +0.5%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.6	109.9	99.0	104.4
season	15.2	15.3		104.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	13.0	15.2	16.5	14.5
SAC	14.7	14.7	16.1	11.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	88	85	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-6	25	14.4	15.4	-0.98	14.7	11.6	3.05
Samuel Dalembert	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-5	23	14.7	14.0	0.71	14.4	13.8	0.62
Allen Iverson	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-1	15	14.6	14.2	0.41	14.6	13.0	1.54
Lee Nailon	18	16	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-7	27	13.0	14.9	-1.87	16.7	13.8	2.97
Kyle Korver	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	7	-1	14.7	14.2	0.45	13.9	15.2	-1.28
John Salmons	34	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	15.0	14.3	0.75	14.7	14.0	0.72
Chris Webber	80	80	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	17	-21	14.5	14.5	0.07	13.9	15.9	-2.02
Kevin Ollie	23	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	14	-15	14.2	14.6	-0.41	13.0	14.6	-1.54
Steven Hunter	30	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	18	-23	14.0	14.7	-0.71	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Shavlik Randolph	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	16	-19	23.3	14.3	9.07	11.3	14.4	-3.02
Matt Barnes	10	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	15	-17	13.0	14.7	-1.70	11.6	14.6	-2.96

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Sampson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	6.6	14.7	-8.07	17.4	14.4	3.01
Ronnie Price	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	6.5	14.8	-8.26	17.4	14.4	3.01
Jason Hart	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-18	23	12.1	15.3	-3.25	15.4	14.1	1.23
Corliss Williamson	24	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-13	13	13.8	14.4	-0.62	14.9	14.4	0.52
Francisco Garcia	35	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-12	11	12.8	15.1	-2.26	15.1	14.2	0.91
Brian Skinner	9	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-12	11	12.6	14.4	-1.88	20.0	13.9	6.13
Kevin Martin	79	78	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-11	9	14.3	14.0	0.33	14.1	16.0	-1.95
Brad Miller	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	-3	-7	14.8	11.7	3.09	14.1	16.7	-2.66
Mike Bibby	68	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	4	-21	15.2	12.1	3.11	14.2	15.3	-1.14
Kenny Thomas	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	1	-15	14.7	12.7	2.04	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Peja Stojakovic	79	82	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	0.06	-29	16	-45	15.3	10.1	5.15	14.5	14.8	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 99, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
POR 81, HOU 66	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.2%
PHX 112, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%