NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	5.6 [720]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +13.4%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	2.7 [838]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -12.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.05	0.03	14	68%	0.18	4	-0.05	16	75%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	14	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	15	58%	0.13	6	-0.11	8	62%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Raja Bell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	11	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.16	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	22	58%	0.07	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.04	11	74%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	19	38%	-0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	29.8	16.4	28.6	2.3	37.7	142.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.5%

NYK -0.8%

NYK -4.3%

PHX +24.4%

NYK -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	12.9	14.1	15.4	104.7	100.9	104.5
season	13.8	15.7		112.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	13.2	12.3	13.4	12.9
NYK	14.1	15.0	15.3	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	90	89	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-12	29	12.4	15.8	-3.47	14.5	12.2	2.34
Steve Nash	81	80	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-8	21	12.2	15.0	-2.82	14.2	13.8	0.44
Leandro Barbosa	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	13.4	11.9	1.47	14.3	13.8	0.59
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	7	-9	12.7	13.5	-0.79	14.2	13.9	0.34
Raja Bell	96	94	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	8	-11	13.0	11.9	1.11	13.6	18.0	-4.35
Boris Diaw	75	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	13.0	12.6	0.45	13.2	16.3	-3.11
James Jones	40	42	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	8	-11	14.2	12.1	2.03	15.1	13.5	1.66
Jumaine Jones	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	10	-15	14.7	12.7	1.92	15.4	14.0	1.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	13	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	0	-5	11.3	14.5	-3.23	10.9	13.2	-2.37
Mardy Collins	26	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-13	21	12.3	14.7	-2.38	13.9	12.6	1.34
Renaldo Balkman	30	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.2	13.7	1.52	12.4	13.1	-0.76
Eddy Curry	72	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	14.3	13.9	0.38	12.7	13.4	-0.69
Malik Rose	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-6	7	14.3	14.1	0.23	15.0	12.3	2.78
Channing Frye	44	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.3	-0.40	13.4	12.6	0.81
Nate Robinson	86	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.34	1	-6	7	14.5	12.6	1.84	12.8	13.3	-0.56
Quentin Richardson	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	5	-15	14.0	14.3	-0.25	12.5	13.3	-0.82
David Lee	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.4	1.10	12.8	13.1	-0.27
Jamal Crawford	106	107	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.1	0.0	14.14	12.9	0.0	12.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NYK 110, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
LAL 118, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%