NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	7.2 [351]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): +13.9%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	1.7 [627]		LVP	Darren Collison (NOH): -21.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	10	70%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	18	62%	0.19	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	20	61%	0.22	8	-0.16	9	89%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	16	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	13	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	-0.00	7	47%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.03,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	12	37%	0.00	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	27.3	16.7	24.6	2.6	29.2	125.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +56.1%

OKC +7.5%

OKC +4.3%

NOH -20.4%

OKC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.3	110.8	105.3	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.2	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.8	15.1	15.6	19.1	15.8
NOH	15.6	14.9	14.4	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	78	79	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.28	16	-12	28	15.7	16.4	-0.72	16.0	9.7	6.36
Russell Westbrook	66	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-3	10	15.3	16.9	-1.54	15.6	13.6	2.04
Kevin Durant	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	7	-10	15.5	17.3	-1.75	14.6	17.3	-2.68
Serge Ibaka	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	4	-4	17.8	14.0	3.80	15.0	15.0	0.07
Nick Collison	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	8	-12	16.7	14.4	2.34	14.5	15.8	-1.35
Thabo Sefolosha	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-1	6	13.2	17.9	-4.69	15.6	14.5	1.06
Nenad Krstic	43	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	1	2	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.7	15.3	-0.62
James Harden	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	17.0	15.2	1.84	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Eric Maynor	27	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	7	-10	16.9	15.3	1.54	13.6	15.6	-2.04

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	9	8	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.02	3	-7	10	12.2	15.3	-3.08	14.1	16.0	-1.83
Morris Peterson	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-3	2	14.9	15.0	-0.16	14.4	16.1	-1.64
Darius Songaila	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-11	18	13.9	16.2	-2.24	17.1	14.4	2.62
James Posey	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-12	20	13.7	17.4	-3.67	16.8	13.9	2.92
Marcus Thornton	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	2	-8	16.1	12.7	3.39	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Peja Stojakovic	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	15.0	14.9	0.16	16.1	14.4	1.64
David West	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	10	-24	16.4	12.9	3.55	14.8	17.3	-2.51
Emeka Okafor	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.18	15.9	15.4	0.50
Darren Collison	64	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	6	-16	15.2	14.7	0.51	15.3	16.8	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.37,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 113, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	92.2%
LAC 93, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.23,0.68,0.54,0.24,0.16,0	91.8%
IND 90, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	91.7%