NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	7.9 [217]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +39.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	1.2 [501]		LVP	Matt Barnes (LAL): -14.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.40	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4	0.25	0.16	0.01	20	69%	0.40	0	0.00	12	83%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.31	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.01	19	72%	0.37	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	13	55%	0.16	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.03
Josh McRoberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	5	29%	-0.09	1	-0.05	4	50%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.06	-0.02	18	67%	0.27	2	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	15	43%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	17	55%	0.10	3	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	13	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	16	43%	-0.02	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	56%	0.07	3	-0.18	1	0%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.7	29.0	18.8	32.1	2.7	39.2	150.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.5%

LAL +13.9%

LAC -12.7%

LAL +13.9%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.6	122.8	116.1	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		103.8	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.5	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	16.7	17.2	14.8	16.4
LAC	14.8	16.0	14.7	13.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	75	76	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-5	15	16.2	17.4	-1.13	14.7	14.5	0.22
Metta World Peace	48	51	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-3	11	15.6	17.4	-1.78	14.4	15.1	-0.66
Kobe Bryant	68	68	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-3	11	16.7	15.5	1.21	15.2	13.4	1.74
Pau Gasol	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-2	9	17.0	14.2	2.75	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Ramon Sessions	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	17.2	13.3	3.86	14.7	14.6	0.14
Steve Blake	31	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.2	17.1	-1.87	13.6	15.3	-1.76
Matt Barnes	57	56	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	9	-13	16.0	17.2	-1.24	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Josh McRoberts	33	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	12	-19	16.6	16.4	0.22	15.7	14.1	1.62

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	29	29	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.03	12	-17	29	14.4	14.9	-0.48	16.9	16.2	0.62
Nick Young	41	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-7	9	13.9	15.4	-1.53	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Bobby Simmons	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	13.6	14.9	-1.26	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Kenyon Martin	41	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-2	-1	14.1	15.2	-1.14	15.4	17.2	-1.74
DeAndre Jordan	76	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-14	23	15.0	13.4	1.59	17.1	13.5	3.56
Randy Foye	59	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	13.6	16.6	-2.91	16.1	17.1	-0.98
Caron Butler	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	2	-9	15.2	13.7	1.53	16.5	16.3	0.21
Chris Paul	74	73	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.32	-13	8	-21	15.7	11.0	4.66	16.7	15.6	1.08
Blake Griffin	67	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.24	-16	11	-27	15.1	13.7	1.36	16.7	15.7	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.37,0.23,0.28,0	92.2%
IND 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0	91.5%
NYK 100, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.22,0.58,0	91.3%