NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	6.2 [621]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +23.9%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.1 [591]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -18.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.24	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	6	83%	0.24	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.02	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.08
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	7	68%	0.07	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.17	-0.02	-0.00	19	43%	-0.05	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	13	38%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	15	50%	-0.03	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	6	43%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	13	64%	0.04	6	-0.20	16	81%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	27.4	16.8	36.1	2.5	38.5	149.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.3%

IND +4.3%

BOS -2.0%

IND +7.0%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.5	96.8	92.4	104.0
season	16.8	14.4		101.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	17.3	18.7	15.6	16.5
BOS	12.8	16.2	13.2	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	50	51	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	14.4	19.0	-4.67	15.1	14.0	1.06
Reggie Miller	71	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	15.9	18.5	-2.57	13.8	17.0	-3.28
Dale Davis	60	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	1	3	16.2	17.2	-1.05	13.8	16.0	-2.25
Jermaine O'Neal	78	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	16.5	16.7	-0.15	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Jamaal Tinsley	59	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	2	1	15.4	18.4	-3.00	13.8	15.9	-2.14
Scot Pollard	10	10	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-2	9	19.2	16.2	2.98	19.5	14.0	5.51
James Jones	46	46	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	9	-13	18.5	14.6	3.84	14.9	14.2	0.70
Jeff Foster	24	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	18.9	15.7	3.15	15.5	14.3	1.26
Anthony Johnson	44	46	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	9	-13	17.4	15.7	1.70	14.7	14.5	0.17
Fred Jones	23	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	3	-1	17.8	16.1	1.65	17.0	13.8	3.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Reed	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	14.6	-14.59	2.0	16.7	-14.70
Tony Allen	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	16.7	14.3	2.37	18.6	16.3	2.38
Kendrick Perkins	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-6	7	17.0	14.6	2.44	25.0	16.4	8.55
Al Jefferson	23	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-4	3	17.8	13.5	4.26	19.7	15.5	4.18
Marcus Banks	24	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-4	3	15.2	14.4	0.90	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Delonte West	41	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.5	0.17	17.6	15.8	1.81
Ricky Davis	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	14.1	19.7	-5.65	16.3	19.0	-2.73
Raef LaFrentz	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	14.1	15.4	-1.22	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Antoine Walker	60	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	1	-7	14.2	15.3	-1.06	16.4	16.8	-0.34
Gary Payton	73	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	2	-9	14.2	15.9	-1.71	16.1	18.3	-2.17
Paul Pierce	86	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	3	-11	14.6	14.8	-0.26	16.2	21.2	-4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 126, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.7%
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	92.5%
NYK 98, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.14,0.37,0.17,0.05,0	92.2%