NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	7.3 [340]		MVP	Chris Douglas-Roberts (NJN): +12.0%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	1.2 [550]		LVP	Sean Williams (NJN): -16.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	72%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	63%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.03	-0.01	0.06	0.02	13	46%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	27%	-0.02	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	19	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	12	53%	0.06	1	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	13	46%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.2	15.4	27.0	1.6	30.7	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +39.3%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +10.3%

NJN -7.2%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.3	102.1	94.8	106.0
season	14.7	15.9		105.9	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.3	13.2	15.0	16.6	13.9
NJN	16.4	15.6	17.0	15.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	69	70	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-9	25	13.6	14.9	-1.30	16.9	13.8	3.17
Wilson Chandler	64	67	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-5	17	14.1	13.6	0.53	16.5	15.0	1.50
Chris Duhon	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	1	5	13.9	14.1	-0.23	16.8	13.4	3.46
Larry Hughes	71	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	13.5	15.0	-1.46	16.4	15.4	0.99
Danilo Gallinari	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-3	13	12.9	15.0	-2.12	17.1	14.9	2.25
Al Harrington	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	9	-11	15.0	11.8	3.20	15.1	17.9	-2.74
Nate Robinson	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	12.9	14.1	-1.24	13.6	16.5	-2.86
Toney Douglas	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	6	-5	13.6	14.0	-0.36	16.2	16.1	0.16
Eddy Curry	27	26	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	16	-25	14.9	13.6	1.30	13.8	16.9	-3.17
Jared Jeffries	26	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	16	-25	14.8	13.6	1.17	13.3	17.1	-3.74

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	33	35	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	14.3	17.0	-2.67	15.1	13.2	1.93
Rafer Alston	56	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	17.9	13.5	4.39	12.9	15.5	-2.60
Sean Williams	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.3	16.5	-1.22	14.2	13.8	0.36
Josh Boone	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-2	-3	16.6	15.9	0.63	12.4	14.4	-1.96
Trenton Hassell	71	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-6	5	16.8	14.2	2.60	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Chris Douglas-Roberts	85	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-1	-5	16.3	14.3	2.04	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Brook Lopez	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	16.4	15.6	0.80	13.9	13.9	0.00
Devin Harris	54	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	14.3	18.3	-4.00	15.0	12.7	2.28
Terrence Williams	64	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	3	-13	15.8	16.7	-0.95	14.0	13.7	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.14,0.37,0.17,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 126, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.5%
IND 90, BOS 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	92.2%
TOR 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.04,0	92.2%