inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 101 Excitement6.8 [438] MVPMarcus Thornton (NOH): +14.6%
Indiana Pacers 96 Comeback1.4 [552] LVPDanny Granger (IND): -21.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.06-0.01872%0.171-0.022100%0.01
James Posey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.060.00450%0.0700.002100%0.02
Darius Songaila0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.04-0.03750%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Julian Wright0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.0000%0.00
David West0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.022152%0.0300.004100%0.02
Chris Paul0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.030.011950%0.082-0.066100%0.03
Devin Brown0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darren Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01740%-0.041-0.031100%0.00
Emeka Okafor-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011539%-0.042-0.05633%-0.07

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.04-0.011262%0.141-0.032100%0.01
Roy Hibbert0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.01-0.001966%0.214-0.143100%0.03
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00344%0.0100.00367%-0.01
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,00.000.01-0.02-0.011344%0.0000.001100%0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.02-0.01933%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.01658%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01835%-0.0500.00757%-0.05
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.02450%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.13,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.06-0.100.041343%-0.083-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.428.615.626.12.435.6134.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +21.4%
IND -1.8%
NOH +16.9%
NOH +10.5%
NOH +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHINDNBANOHINDNBA
this game15.414.215.3103.199.0106.0
season15.514.2106.0102.2
opponent15.115.2105.3108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.913.216.117.515.4
IND13.314.515.913.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West81800.59-0.090.680.2711-61715.216.3-1.1114.413.21.19
Emeka Okafor68690.51-0.010.510.249-41316.213.52.7114.613.11.47
Chris Paul77780.460.040.430.3732116.112.73.3914.014.8-0.79
Peja Stojakovic61610.320.180.140.088-31114.816.4-1.6114.613.41.22
Marcus Thornton49470.310.190.110.2232114.416.3-1.9013.414.9-1.50
James Posey45440.230.27-0.040.26-16-715.915.00.9013.814.5-0.70
Devin Brown36370.140.36-0.210.1405-516.914.52.4314.713.80.89
Darren Collison26240.040.46-0.42-0.0223-113.516.1-2.6114.913.90.96
Darius Songaila34310.030.47-0.440.12-38-1113.916.2-2.2413.514.5-1.03
Julian Wright1314-0.130.63-0.760.08-712-1916.115.30.8112.414.4-2.02

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dahntay Jones42410.03-0.530.56-0.177-121913.015.0-2.0414.715.8-1.11
Tyler Hansbrough1010-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-4314.314.10.1611.515.8-4.32
Solomon Jones89-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-3115.614.01.6010.715.9-5.19
Roy Hibbert6565-0.19-0.310.12-0.252-7914.713.01.7717.012.24.73
A.J. Price6061-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.290-5513.315.6-2.3315.016.1-1.09
Earl Watson5959-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.300-5515.212.52.7216.314.02.33
Brandon Rush5354-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-116-1714.313.90.4114.716.2-1.54
Mike Dunleavy6163-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.26-50-513.914.6-0.7715.215.7-0.57
Danny Granger7070-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-2-3114.313.70.5716.113.52.63
Troy Murphy5758-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-138-2113.914.5-0.6714.916.1-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 104, TOR 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,094.1%
HOU 102, LAC 850.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,094.0%
GSW 85, TOR 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,093.9%