NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	5.7 [655]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +10.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.5 [713]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	5	67%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Chase Budinger	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	86%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	96%	0.20	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
David Andersen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	16	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	17	54%	0.02	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	16	31%	-0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	29.6	16.4	24.8	2.8	28.3	126.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +46.8%

LAC -0.5%

HOU +10.8%

LAC -8.1%

HOU +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.3	108.5	94.4	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.0	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.5	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.0	14.8	14.4	17.2	15.3
LAC	17.0	14.5	16.4	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	43	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-1	19	16.9	14.0	2.95	15.6	16.4	-0.78
Trevor Ariza	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-1	19	14.7	16.6	-1.95	16.9	14.0	2.87
Carl Landry	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	1	15	16.4	14.2	2.22	15.3	16.9	-1.59
David Andersen	39	37	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	2	13	16.6	14.4	2.28	15.7	16.2	-0.57
Chase Budinger	51	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	2	13	17.0	13.3	3.65	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Luis Scola	55	53	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	15	-13	14.4	16.6	-2.28	16.2	15.7	0.57
Shane Battier	58	55	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.10	-1	18	-19	14.2	17.2	-3.01	16.3	15.6	0.63
Aaron Brooks	66	62	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	16	-15	14.6	17.0	-2.41	16.0	15.9	0.12
Charles Hayes	46	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	16	-15	14.2	16.4	-2.22	16.9	15.3	1.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	11.0	16.2	-5.24	21.6	15.0	6.64
DeAndre Jordan	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-12	7	13.5	16.2	-2.69	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Ricky Davis	41	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	-10	3	14.8	17.0	-2.26	16.5	14.3	2.13
Sebastian Telfair	21	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-13	9	16.1	16.0	0.11	17.2	14.7	2.51
Marcus Camby	75	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-9	1	16.0	16.2	-0.23	15.0	16.8	-1.85
Rasual Butler	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-10	3	16.2	15.5	0.75	14.3	17.8	-3.52
Craig Smith	23	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-8	-1	16.0	16.0	-0.01	16.6	14.8	1.81
Chris Kaman	76	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	16.2	14.7	1.54	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Baron Davis	70	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-1	-15	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.0	16.3	-1.32
Al Thornton	68	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-4	-9	16.6	14.0	2.60	14.8	16.8	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, MEM 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.1%
NOH 101, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.02,0	94.0%