inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement6.8 [431] MVPJason Terry (DAL): +18.2%
Dallas Mavericks 98 Comeback5.0 [606] LVPBen Gordon (DET): -13.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0.150,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.150.020.12-0.021545%0.181-0.03333%-0.06
Charlie Villanueva0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.01-0.011265%0.151-0.06250%-0.02
Chris Wilcox0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00775%0.122-0.082100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.030.010.021461%0.103-0.08560%-0.02
Ben Wallace-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00543%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Chucky Atkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.011150%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko-0.070,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.21,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.001137%-0.024-0.12250%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.180.180.130.070.011962%0.1800.00475%-0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.040.09-0.011060%0.181-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.040.03782%0.161-0.028100%0.05
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.10.10-0.020.08-0.042050%0.203-0.104100%0.06
Jason Kidd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.000.05-0.02850%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quinton Ross00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.110.05-0.011629%-0.021-0.022100%0.02
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.20.825.016.828.12.437.5135.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +9.3%
DAL +17.1%
DAL +10.2%
DAL +14.9%
DET -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game17.214.415.3103.3106.5106.0
season16.815.2104.0107.2
opponent15.515.2104.6109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.318.718.515.817.2
DAL15.016.512.214.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Jerebko26250.02-0.520.53-0.073-81117.217.3-0.1315.813.91.93
Charlie Villanueva5053-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-50-518.715.43.3213.915.2-1.29
Ben Wallace5150-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-4316.917.7-0.7516.012.53.52
Ben Gordon6162-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-81116.618.5-1.8814.514.20.35
Chris Wilcox3942-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-1-317.716.90.7512.516.0-3.52
Rodney Stuckey6868-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.20-3-2-116.918.5-1.6015.012.82.17
Chucky Atkins1416-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.12-83-1119.916.83.0912.214.9-2.64
Tayshaun Prince7475-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.24-4-1-316.819.1-2.2915.011.93.13
Richard Hamilton6769-0.560.06-0.62-0.38-61-717.017.9-0.8413.617.0-3.48

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki86830.57-0.070.630.338-31114.612.52.0717.217.6-0.35
Drew Gooden61620.490.010.480.326-1715.212.92.3117.017.7-0.73
Jason Kidd71700.450.050.390.189-41314.315.0-0.7316.719.0-2.26
Jason Terry74720.410.100.310.2650514.514.10.4717.914.63.36
Shawn Marion51500.330.170.160.079-41313.415.8-2.4318.116.12.02
Josh Howard59580.300.200.110.33-16-714.314.7-0.4116.818.1-1.37
Quinton Ross330.090.41-0.330.0323-10.714.9-14.234.717.7-13.01
Jose Juan Barea37360.040.46-0.430.21-611-1715.313.81.4917.617.00.56
Kris Humphries1816-0.170.67-0.830.04-712-1915.414.21.2618.017.10.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 86, ORL 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,193.8%
MIA 94, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,193.7%
MIL 95, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,193.5%