inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 95 Excitement7.1 [390] MVPKhris Middleton (MIL): +17.3%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback4.9 [607] LVPBrandon Knight (MIL): -18.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0.170,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.170.140.030.001475%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Jared Dudley0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.06-0.00487%0.132-0.0500%0.00
Kenyon Martin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.020.02-0.02-0.031056%0.062-0.03771%0.03
Zaza Pachulia0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001150%0.0100.002100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.001045%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00855%0.023-0.06450%-0.02
John Henson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.01-0.00450%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01540%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Knight-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.03-0.001533%-0.085-0.1000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.080.021156%0.1300.001283%0.02
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.003100%0.1300.002100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.080.080.050.050.011371%0.215-0.132100%0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.011164%0.103-0.0600%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.00462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.030.00736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.00854%0.054-0.09875%-0.02
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.110.02-0.01917%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09-0.09-0.100.00-0.011333%-0.042-0.054100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.629.415.325.72.632.4130.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL -3.9%
SAS +19.4%
SAS +17.7%
SAS +16.0%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILSASNBAMILSASNBA
this game14.914.815.199.0103.1104.2
season14.515.4100.5106.9
opponent14.915.7101.1101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.812.418.416.514.9
SAS14.316.414.414.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ersan Ilyasova47480.34-0.841.17-0.0513-193213.316.4-3.1315.714.01.75
Zaza Pachulia52530.08-0.580.67-0.065-111613.017.0-4.0515.014.70.27
Giannis Antetokounmpo7071-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-7814.316.4-2.1514.116.7-2.53
John Henson3333-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-1-415.814.31.4714.615.0-0.35
Khris Middleton6163-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-3014.415.6-1.2214.814.9-0.17
Kenyon Martin1112-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.17-60-620.714.16.6314.914.80.09
Jerryd Bayless4646-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.31-2-4214.814.9-0.1014.415.2-0.84
O.J. Mayo5657-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.33-2-4214.914.80.1415.314.21.06
Brandon Knight6770-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-104-1415.513.32.2615.114.20.92
Jared Dudley3737-0.680.18-0.87-0.07-2115-3617.513.24.2414.515.0-0.56

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph32300.53-0.030.55-0.0018-123014.115.2-1.1016.913.93.02
Boris Diaw57560.51-0.010.520.278-21014.515.3-0.8715.214.30.95
Manu Ginobili58600.360.140.220.3315-414.215.7-1.5015.513.81.63
Danny Green45420.320.180.140.1751416.413.52.8115.214.60.60
Kawhi Leonard76740.280.220.060.2224-214.217.1-2.9714.416.2-1.78
Tiago Splitter30310.270.230.040.1542215.514.60.9117.513.63.93
Tim Duncan67640.200.30-0.090.2006-614.715.0-0.2913.717.2-3.59
Tony Parker73710.130.37-0.230.25-410-1415.014.30.7514.117.1-3.01
Aron Baynes540.040.46-0.420.0115-420.414.55.8613.214.9-1.67
Patty Mills1414-0.020.52-0.530.01-17-815.214.80.4413.415.1-1.75
Matt Bonner3334-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-410-1414.914.80.1114.015.3-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 93, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.98,193.5%
WAS 97, ATL 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,193.2%
LAC 86, ORL 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,193.2%