inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 80 Excitement2.1 [1289] MVPJermaine O'Neal (MIA): +14.8%
Miami Heat 114 Comeback1.1 [1198] LVPDahntay Jones (IND): -3.9%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.011250%0.031-0.00850%-0.03
Tyler Hansbrough0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01550%0.0200.0010100%0.02
T.J. Ford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01556%0.021-0.00875%-0.01
A.J. Price-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05660%-0.0000.00367%-0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01345%-0.0000.00560%-0.00
Luther Head-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.110.00-0.101135%-0.003-0.00425%-0.01
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.100.00-0.0810%-0.004-0.0100%0.00
Brandon Rush-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00945%-0.021-0.00250%-0.00
Solomon Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04520%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.030,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00558%-0.003-0.03250%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.160.00-0.131015%-0.023-0.0100%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.00-0.0630%-0.022-0.0220%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.160.010.02790%0.151-0.007100%0.02
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.01-0.001762%0.151-0.01683%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.04737%0.0300.002100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01944%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.021355%0.032-0.02367%0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.03375%0.0100.002100%-0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.03750%0.012-0.012100%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05220%0.0000.0060%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01950%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.051348%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.333.616.628.42.330.7143.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +31.1%
MIA +8.0%
MIA +4.9%
MIA +4.9%
MIA +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game13.615.015.380.8111.8106.0
season14.216.2102.2104.4
opponent15.415.1102.8105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.114.013.713.813.6
MIA14.114.213.519.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough55530.02-0.520.55-0.125-394413.014.4-1.4715.414.60.78
Josh McRoberts25280.00-0.500.500.09-3-312813.013.8-0.8816.514.51.99
A.J. Price2222-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-384213.813.60.2019.013.95.02
Luther Head5959-0.02-0.480.45-0.206-404612.515.3-2.7815.414.60.80
T.J. Ford4342-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-343413.114.0-0.9214.415.4-1.00
Brandon Rush6261-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-292413.414.1-0.7015.414.40.97
Solomon Jones3536-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-272014.313.21.0415.015.0-0.07
Roy Hibbert3436-0.31-0.19-0.120.37-23-11-1214.213.30.8514.915.1-0.16
Dahntay Jones3337-0.46-0.04-0.410.66-384-4214.513.21.3013.515.9-2.45
Earl Watson3438-0.47-0.03-0.440.65-384-4214.213.30.8513.416.0-2.59
Mike Dunleavy4447-0.48-0.02-0.450.43-31-3-2814.812.62.2015.314.80.56
Troy Murphy4951-0.570.07-0.640.60-406-4613.813.40.4013.916.1-2.16

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo63590.59-0.090.67-0.6241-74814.016.7-2.7113.513.7-0.18
Jermaine O'Neal43410.57-0.070.64-0.5739-54413.316.2-2.8913.813.50.32
Michael Beasley58540.51-0.010.52-0.463313214.216.2-2.0014.113.01.09
Dwyane Wade64600.51-0.010.52-0.6138-44213.916.9-3.0313.114.3-1.18
Quentin Richardson61580.480.020.45-0.7341-74813.916.7-2.7413.613.6-0.03
Dorell Wright41430.020.48-0.450.11-337-4015.914.41.4814.013.30.68
Jamaal Magloire17160.000.50-0.500.12-438-4217.914.43.5112.213.9-1.70
James Jones16150.000.50-0.500.06-236-3818.014.53.5312.413.8-1.43
Daequan Cook3333-0.010.51-0.520.19-741-4817.713.74.0014.113.40.76
Udonis Haslem4545-0.020.52-0.550.00-135-3615.314.80.5213.613.60.01
Joel Anthony3031-0.060.56-0.61-0.12232-3015.914.71.2013.713.60.09
Mario Chalmers3940-0.090.59-0.670.12-741-4816.714.02.7113.713.50.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 73, IND 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
LAC 95, PHX 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
SAS 86, POR 1100.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%