inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 86 Excitement1.9 [1242] MVPIsaiah Rider (POR): +7.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 110 Comeback1.0 [1041] LVPDominique Wilkins (SAS): -8.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.04478%0.024-0.011100%0.00
Gaylon Nickerson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Stephen Howard-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04360%-0.002-0.004100%-0.00
Sean Elliott-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01550%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Will Perdue-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.03350%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Carl Herrera-0.030,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Cory Alexander-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.000.05868%-0.003-0.04367%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.04641%-0.022-0.03560%-0.01
Vernon Maxwell-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.130.00-0.07725%-0.033-0.0320%-0.02
Monty Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.050.000.011062%-0.015-0.05475%-0.00
Dominique Wilkins-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.170.00-0.081635%-0.081-0.011464%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.041079%0.091-0.024100%0.01
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.031168%0.061-0.023100%-0.00
Randolph Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.08657%0.033-0.00250%-0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.05687%0.041-0.023100%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03657%0.022-0.002100%0.00
Dontonio Wingfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marcus Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.060.000.07965%-0.0100.00560%-0.01
Mitchell Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05480%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.04233%-0.012-0.012100%0.01
Chris Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.110.00-0.08520%-0.003-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.120.00-0.07644%-0.024-0.03667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.828.215.426.41.828.2129.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +32.5%
SAS -0.4%
POR +7.2%
POR +7.1%
POR +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game15.814.415.689.6115.8104.4
season16.815.5100.8105.2
opponent15.515.4101.6109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.618.616.514.715.8
POR14.114.814.014.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Howard3232-0.00-0.500.49-0.279-334214.216.5-2.3913.914.7-0.79
Cory Alexander4344-0.04-0.460.41-0.257-313813.317.7-4.3514.714.10.65
Gaylon Nickerson3131-0.05-0.450.40-0.143-273015.116.1-1.0113.514.8-1.36
Carl Herrera2929-0.19-0.310.130.25-15-9-616.315.50.7514.814.20.62
Will Perdue4747-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-14414.916.5-1.5915.113.71.40
Monty Williams7271-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-211815.616.2-0.6714.613.70.93
Sean Elliott4039-0.29-0.21-0.080.27-19-5-1416.615.11.4613.814.8-0.94
Greg Anderson4948-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-10-416.514.91.5913.715.1-1.40
Dominique Wilkins3938-0.31-0.19-0.130.27-20-4-1617.014.92.1514.814.10.65
Vernon Maxwell4545-0.43-0.07-0.350.37-273-3015.416.0-0.6214.913.90.97
Avery Johnson5351-0.46-0.04-0.410.45-317-3817.713.34.3514.114.7-0.65

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Rider50510.50-0.000.51-0.5235-114614.014.8-0.8417.613.73.88
Kenny Anderson49500.500.000.50-0.5335-114613.914.9-1.0417.713.64.07
Clifford Robinson59590.430.070.36-0.192131813.715.5-1.7716.215.11.04
Gary Trent47460.410.090.32-0.5031-73814.114.7-0.6216.914.72.23
Arvydas Sabonis49500.410.090.31-0.5633-94213.115.7-2.6017.214.23.03
Dontonio Wingfield27270.110.39-0.28-0.07618-1214.014.5-0.5116.515.41.07
Chris Dudley35360.090.41-0.310.36-933-4216.613.13.5314.616.5-1.91
Jermaine O'Neal48500.090.41-0.320.30-731-3814.714.10.6214.716.9-2.23
Randolph Childress46460.000.50-0.500.32-1135-4614.913.91.0413.617.7-4.07
Marcus Brown11100.000.50-0.500.00024-2412.914.6-1.6912.816.1-3.29
Aaron McKie3435-0.000.50-0.510.32-1135-4615.513.81.6713.916.8-2.84
Mitchell Butler2020-0.040.54-0.580.05-327-3016.014.02.0912.016.7-4.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 71, SAS 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
DEN 85, POR 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,197.6%
PHI 95, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%