NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	85		Excitement	2.2 [769]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (POR): +7.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	1.0 [774]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -11.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Washington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	6	44%	-0.02	4	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	13	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cory Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	16	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.02	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	5	8%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.19	0.00	-0.07	18	38%	-0.07	4	-0.05	9	56%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	14	61%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	63%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	17	49%	0.03	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.10	6	0%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	1	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	29.2	15.5	24.3	2.4	29.6	125.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.5%

DEN -0.3%

POR +7.6%

POR +3.9%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.8	87.6	101.0	99.6
season	15.5	16.0		100.7	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		96.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.7	14.4	16.2	14.3	15.1
POR	13.1	12.3	15.2	17.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Washington	44	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.48	16	-31	47	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.9	12.7	3.17
Danny Fortson	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-16	17	14.8	15.2	-0.38	15.7	13.9	1.78
Keon Clark	47	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-23	31	14.2	15.9	-1.71	15.5	13.1	2.47
Cory Alexander	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-15	15	16.6	14.5	2.10	14.6	14.2	0.48
Eric Williams	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-10	5	13.8	15.7	-1.87	12.6	15.1	-2.45
Chauncey Billups	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.38	-25	10	-35	16.3	14.3	1.98	12.9	15.1	-2.17
Antonio McDyess	83	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	15.1	15.3	-0.20	14.0	16.0	-1.95
Nick Van Exel	70	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	0	-15	14.5	16.6	-2.10	14.2	14.6	-0.48
Raef LaFrentz	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	2	-19	15.7	13.6	2.10	14.3	14.3	-0.00
Bryant Stith	51	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.32	-27	12	-39	16.0	14.1	1.87	13.3	15.2	-1.88

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-2	19	13.3	16.8	-3.49	15.3	14.6	0.68
Damon Stoudamire	81	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.19	22	-7	29	14.7	12.5	2.18	14.7	16.7	-1.95
Brian Grant	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.40	28	-13	41	13.9	14.8	-0.87	15.2	14.9	0.27
Isaiah Rider	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	-7	29	14.5	13.5	1.02	15.2	14.8	0.37
Walt Williams	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.36	26	-11	37	14.5	14.0	0.47	15.5	14.5	0.93
Arvydas Sabonis	20	19	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.17	10	5	5	15.1	14.1	1.09	16.9	14.7	2.22
Jim Jackson	39	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.42	-11	26	-37	14.0	14.5	-0.47	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Stacey Augmon	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	22	-29	13.5	14.5	-1.02	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Greg Anthony	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	22	-29	12.5	14.7	-2.18	16.7	14.7	1.95
Kelvin Cato	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	21	-27	16.2	13.9	2.26	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Jermaine O'Neal	33	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.53	-19	34	-53	15.6	13.6	2.03	14.1	15.6	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, OKC 126	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
PHI 95, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DAL 71, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%