NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	73		Excitement	2.2 [1033]		MVP	David West (IND): +8.6%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.0 [766]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -7.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	70%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Cory Higgins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	1	0%	-0.00	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04	2	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	12	36%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	14	31%	-0.07	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.06	8	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	8	82%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	7	36%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	72%	0.02	3	-0.01	10	70%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	14	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.05	6	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	70%	0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	30.5	15.6	27.1	2.7	26.3	131.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.9%

IND +6.9%

IND +11.5%

IND +5.8%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.6	76.0	112.5	102.8
season	16.3	15.7		94.1	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.0		101.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.7	14.9	16.3	17.1	15.9
IND	12.0	14.5	13.7	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	16	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-37	39	11.4	16.8	-5.40	16.6	13.5	3.14
DJ White	48	48	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-40	45	15.6	16.2	-0.58	15.4	12.7	2.67
Derrick Brown	55	54	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-39	43	15.8	16.1	-0.24	15.0	12.9	2.10
Cory Higgins	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-44	53	14.9	16.0	-1.16	18.3	13.6	4.71
Matt Carroll	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-37	39	16.4	15.8	0.58	16.7	13.4	3.27
Kemba Walker	52	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-30	25	16.3	15.5	0.85	14.2	14.0	0.20
Tyrus Thomas	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-27	19	14.7	16.1	-1.45	13.2	14.2	-0.93
DeSagana Diop	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.36	-22	-13	-9	16.7	15.6	1.09	12.4	14.9	-2.48
Bismack Biyombo	49	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-20	5	16.9	14.9	2.05	14.3	13.9	0.38
Boris Diaw	36	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.55	-32	-3	-29	16.7	15.4	1.30	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Reggie Williams	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.49	-32	-3	-29	15.4	16.5	-1.12	13.0	15.3	-2.27
D.J. Augustin	64	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.77	-44	9	-53	16.0	15.7	0.33	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Corey Maggette	41	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.61	-39	4	-43	16.1	15.8	0.24	12.9	15.0	-2.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	60	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.80	47	-12	59	12.6	16.6	-3.99	16.4	15.1	1.25
David West	47	47	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.58	39	-4	43	13.0	15.1	-2.04	16.2	15.7	0.46
Roy Hibbert	54	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.73	43	-8	51	12.7	15.8	-3.06	16.5	15.2	1.34
Paul George	44	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.37	30	5	25	13.4	14.6	-1.25	16.5	15.4	1.04
Danny Granger	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.51	32	3	29	12.9	15.5	-2.64	16.0	15.8	0.19
Dahntay Jones	42	41	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	32	-29	15.5	12.9	2.64	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Tyler Hansbrough	46	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.20	8	27	-19	14.1	14.0	0.13	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Lou Amundson	24	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	38	-41	15.8	13.5	2.36	16.6	15.7	0.91
Jeff Ayres	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	42	-49	18.0	13.6	4.40	16.3	15.9	0.40
Lance Stephenson	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	36	-37	14.9	13.3	1.64	15.9	16.0	-0.14
A.J. Price	43	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	41	-47	15.9	12.5	3.38	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Jeff Foster	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	45	-55	17.4	13.6	3.73	11.5	16.6	-5.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
IND 80, MIA 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
TOR 82, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%