NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	7.0 [389]		MVP	David West (NOH): +24.1%
New Orleans Hornets	95		Comeback	6.9 [325]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -18.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	-0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.08	-0.01	14	60%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.05	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.14,-0.18	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	26	46%	0.07	6	-0.25	5	80%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.18	0.02	22	70%	0.39	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.00	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.09	0.02	9	67%	0.20	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.10	0.04	9	65%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	3	25%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	29.9	15.8	26.8	1.8	39.2	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +18.5%

NOH +2.7%

NOH +17.4%

NOH +10.7%

NOH +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOH	NBA	DET	NOH	NBA
this game	17.5	15.1	15.3	98.9	106.7	106.0
season	16.8	15.5		104.0	106.0
opponent	15.2	15.2		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	16.0	18.0	19.5	17.5
NOH	14.7	14.7	16.2	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	46	47	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.13	5	-13	18	17.6	17.4	0.25	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Chucky Atkins	51	50	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.19	-2	-6	4	19.3	15.1	4.20	14.0	16.4	-2.34
Chris Wilcox	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-10	12	16.0	17.9	-1.86	17.1	14.4	2.65
Jason Maxiell	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-1	-6	17.9	17.3	0.61	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Charlie Villanueva	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	17.3	17.9	-0.61	15.2	14.8	0.35
Ben Wallace	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	2	-12	17.9	16.0	1.86	14.4	17.1	-2.65
Rodney Stuckey	73	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.27	-9	1	-10	17.5	17.3	0.27	14.8	16.3	-1.45
Will Bynum	44	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	-6	4	15.4	19.6	-4.20	16.3	13.8	2.47
Jonas Jerebko	50	49	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.37	-16	8	-24	17.4	17.7	-0.30	15.4	14.6	0.76

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	79	78	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-7	22	14.8	17.0	-2.18	18.0	13.8	4.16
Peja Stojakovic	59	59	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-5	18	15.4	14.4	0.96	17.8	16.8	0.99
David West	84	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	15.2	12.2	3.04	17.5	16.8	0.70
Darius Songaila	40	40	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	13.8	16.1	-2.21	18.5	16.6	1.85
James Posey	35	34	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	8	-8	15.8	14.6	1.16	17.1	17.7	-0.65
Devin Brown	46	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.20	12	-4	16	14.1	16.1	-1.98	18.5	16.5	2.07
Emeka Okafor	54	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	8	-8	15.7	14.1	1.62	16.7	18.8	-2.13
Marcus Thornton	30	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	15.0	15.1	-0.10	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Darren Collison	18	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	19	-30	16.3	14.8	1.52	14.8	18.2	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.87,1	91.9%
MIA 77, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.83,1	91.8%
BOS 84, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	91.7%