NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	84		Excitement	9.2 [89]		MVP	Brad Miller (CHI): +7.1%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	9.1 [43]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -49.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	0.08	-0.18	-0.01	24	56%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Paul Pierce	-0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.23,-0.33,-0.49	-0.11	-0.38	-0.00	15	37%	-0.35	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.33,-0.49	-0.14	-0.36	-0.01	9	34%	-0.33	1	-0.16	11	55%	-0.08

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	91%	0.19	5	-0.12	10	100%	0.06
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	0.00	16	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	11	42%	-0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.02	-0.15	0.01	12	50%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	5	23%	-0.11	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	4	-0.35	8	62%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	24.4	15.6	28.0	1.5	30.4	126.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.7%

CHI +30.8%

BOS -1.1%

BOS -23.0%

CHI +11.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.6	91.3	94.6	102.3
season	15.0	15.6		100.9	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	14.9	15.7	15.5	15.2
CHI	18.9	15.8	14.3	15.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	43	44	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-10	17	15.6	14.9	0.72	18.1	14.3	3.84
Kenny Anderson	42	42	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-7	11	15.7	14.7	1.00	17.5	15.0	2.52
Joe Johnson	49	51	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-8	13	15.5	14.9	0.63	16.5	15.6	0.90
Erick Strickland	36	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.30	3	-6	9	15.1	15.3	-0.18	16.4	15.9	0.46
Vitaly Potapenko	43	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	6	-15	14.3	16.0	-1.63	14.4	17.6	-3.18
Paul Pierce	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-3	3	15.7	13.5	2.23	16.0	16.5	-0.55
Antoine Walker	88	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	3	-9	15.1	17.2	-2.15	16.3	12.0	4.34
Milt Palacio	50	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	4	-11	14.7	15.7	-1.00	15.0	17.5	-2.52
Eric Williams	39	39	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	9	-21	14.7	15.5	-0.83	14.6	17.2	-2.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-11	25	16.2	16.0	0.19	16.4	13.5	2.84
Greg Anthony	57	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-5	13	15.9	16.4	-0.47	15.4	14.8	0.64
Trenton Hassell	71	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	15.7	17.5	-1.77	15.2	15.1	0.12
Ron Mercer	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-1	5	16.3	15.3	1.03	15.6	13.4	2.18
Charles Oakley	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	5	-7	15.4	17.1	-1.61	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Brad Miller	65	65	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	2	-1	16.7	14.6	2.15	14.8	16.2	-1.45
Fred Hoiberg	39	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	5	-7	16.5	15.8	0.61	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Kevin Ollie	36	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	8	-13	15.9	16.2	-0.27	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Eddy Curry	11	11	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.01	-7	10	-17	16.7	16.0	0.70	13.9	15.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	92.8%
DET 95, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,1	92.0%
DET 87, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.92,1	91.7%