NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	6.8 [430]		MVP	Anderson Varejao (CLE): +33.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	4.4 [617]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	7	83%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.02	13	71%	0.26	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.03	0.05	13	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	25	43%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.24	-0.00	17	59%	0.36	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	24	61%	0.28	4	-0.16	6	67%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	54%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.8	31.3	19.7	30.3	3.6	38.2	149.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.7%

POR -9.4%

CLE +19.4%

POR -11.5%

POR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.3	107.6	113.0	106.0
season	16.7	16.1		108.8	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.6		103.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	16.6	16.9	15.6	16.0
CLE	13.8	17.7	14.4	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	7	7	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-14	23	18.6	15.8	2.79	19.9	14.9	4.92
Jerryd Bayless	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.07	6	-11	17	16.5	15.9	0.60	17.4	14.9	2.41
Joel Przybilla	61	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	2	-9	17.2	13.7	3.49	14.9	16.2	-1.25
Juwan Howard	31	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	17.3	15.3	1.96	15.9	15.0	0.85
Martell Webster	68	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-2	-1	14.9	19.1	-4.19	15.1	16.0	-0.90
Steve Blake	72	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.4	18.1	-2.70	15.0	16.3	-1.38
Andre Miller	59	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	16.4	15.2	1.26	16.2	13.8	2.33
Brandon Roy	77	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	15.9	16.6	-0.73	14.9	18.0	-3.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	6	-17	15.5	17.8	-2.36	14.9	16.6	-1.69

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	16.0	13.5	2.48	16.1	15.8	0.26
Mo Williams	67	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-8	21	15.2	15.5	-0.28	16.0	15.8	0.20
LeBron James	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-3	11	14.8	17.3	-2.44	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Shaquille O'Neal	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-7	19	14.4	16.2	-1.78	17.9	14.3	3.51
Delonte West	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.41	-8	13	-21	16.6	13.7	2.99	15.2	17.0	-1.74
Anthony Parker	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	9	-13	15.2	15.4	-0.24	14.5	17.7	-3.16
Jamario Moon	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.30	-7	12	-19	14.3	15.9	-1.62	16.1	15.9	0.20
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	32	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	11	-17	16.7	14.5	2.20	16.3	15.8	0.50
JJ Hickson	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	8	-11	14.4	15.5	-1.13	16.9	15.8	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.91,1	92.3%
GSW 103, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.84,1	92.1%
MEM 106, LAC 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.7,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	91.8%