NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	7.7 [300]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +15.5%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	4.0 [214]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -27.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	9	88%	0.19	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	78%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Wesley Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	13	32%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	5	0%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.11	0.01	14	38%	-0.19	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	7	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	83%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	0.01	19	60%	0.20	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	18	54%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.04	-0.06	10	46%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.09
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.25,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	15	47%	-0.02	4	-0.19	6	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	28.3	15.0	25.1	1.7	37.3	133.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.2%

WAS +10.6%

WAS +14.5%

CLE -15.4%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	15.2	98.0	104.0	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		98.0	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.3		104.4	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.5	14.0	15.8	14.4	14.1
WAS	14.1	14.3	12.4	19.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	44	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-11	17	14.5	13.9	0.64	16.6	13.6	3.02
Shawn Kemp	53	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	3	-11	13.8	14.5	-0.66	13.7	16.3	-2.56
Brevin Knight	69	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-6	7	13.4	15.7	-2.32	14.6	15.2	-0.65
Cedric Henderson	59	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-6	7	14.1	14.2	-0.09	15.6	13.8	1.78
Andre Miller	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	1	-7	15.7	13.4	2.32	15.2	14.6	0.65
Mark Bryant	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	2	-9	14.4	13.8	0.54	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Wesley Person	32	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-1	-3	14.6	13.9	0.71	15.2	14.6	0.65
Bob Sura	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	13.8	14.9	-1.06	14.2	16.2	-1.99
Lamond Murray	48	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-1	-3	13.5	14.7	-1.15	15.0	14.6	0.41
Danny Ferry	40	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	14.8	13.7	1.06	15.0	14.6	0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	86	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	15.2	12.2	3.06	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Tracy Murray	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	0	5	14.5	16.2	-1.74	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Richard Hamilton	79	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	0	5	14.3	17.0	-2.75	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Rod Strickland	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	4	-3	14.6	15.2	-0.57	13.5	15.6	-2.13
Aaron Williams	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-3	11	13.5	16.3	-2.75	15.4	12.8	2.63
Jahidi White	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	0	5	16.7	13.7	2.98	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Chris Whitney	28	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	1	3	15.2	14.6	0.57	15.6	13.5	2.13
Reggie Jordan	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	5	-5	17.0	14.3	2.75	15.6	13.8	1.82
Lorenzo Williams	20	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	9	-13	15.6	14.6	0.99	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Ike Austin	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	10	-15	13.7	15.1	-1.39	13.9	14.2	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	92.6%
POR 99, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.95,1	92.3%
WAS 106, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.53,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	92.3%