NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	7.0 [401]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +35.8%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	2.1 [699]		LVP	Drew Gooden (DAL): -19.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	15	75%	0.29	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	20	54%	0.12	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.1	0.06	-0.11	0.05	14	62%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	7	14%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.12	-0.00	20	67%	0.36	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	13	62%	0.23	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	8	87%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	15	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	29.8	16.0	29.0	1.8	36.0	140.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.2%

PHX -2.7%

DAL +8.6%

DAL +4.7%

DAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.9	15.3	100.0	105.2	106.0
season	14.4	15.2		113.5	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	12.5	13.5	12.9	13.2
DAL	15.0	17.1	14.7	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	62	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-13	25	12.9	13.7	-0.81	17.2	13.7	3.45
Robin Lopez	7	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-2	3	8.4	13.6	-5.12	18.8	15.8	3.01
Steve Nash	83	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-7	13	13.3	12.9	0.38	16.3	14.2	2.03
Lou Amundson	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	2	-5	14.3	12.8	1.44	12.5	17.2	-4.67
Jason Richardson	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-7	13	13.2	13.3	-0.08	16.0	15.5	0.56
Grant Hill	71	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	7	-15	12.8	14.0	-1.19	16.6	14.6	2.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	1	-3	13.0	13.6	-0.57	15.6	17.0	-1.44
Goran Dragic	37	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	12	-25	13.7	12.9	0.75	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Jared Dudley	60	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	3	-7	13.8	12.2	1.61	16.0	15.8	0.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	74	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	15.3	18.2	-2.92	13.1	13.4	-0.31
Dirk Nowitzki	83	87	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	-1	3	15.5	18.4	-2.81	13.3	12.4	0.98
Jose Juan Barea	60	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	-5	11	15.9	15.9	0.00	12.6	14.1	-1.47
Josh Howard	53	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	-1	3	15.6	16.4	-0.76	14.0	12.2	1.80
Kris Humphries	19	19	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	-7	15	15.0	16.2	-1.18	13.3	13.2	0.08
Shawn Marion	75	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	5	-9	16.8	13.0	3.87	13.0	14.0	-1.08
Jason Kidd	74	78	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.39	-5	6	-11	16.6	13.7	2.95	13.2	13.0	0.20
Rodrigue Beaubois	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	0.0	15.9	-15.95	4.0	13.3	-9.29
Erick Dampier	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	3	-5	18.0	15.6	2.40	12.4	13.3	-0.93
Drew Gooden	33	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	4	-7	15.2	16.3	-1.16	13.7	12.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 75, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 105, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1	94.0%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%