NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	5.8 [649]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +19.1%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	1.2 [652]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): -19.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	15	62%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	57%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	15	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	11	78%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	17	44%	-0.06	6	-0.14	2	0%	-0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	13	22%	-0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	33.2	19.6	28.1	2.8	40.3	154.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.7%

BOS +16.6%

SAS -32.3%

BOS +13.6%

BOS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAS	NBA	BOS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	16.5	15.3	97.8	91.2	106.0
season	15.5	15.9		105.7	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	16.7	14.5	15.0	15.0
SAS	17.3	16.8	14.3	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	70	68	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.13	19	-12	31	14.6	16.4	-1.76	16.6	16.1	0.44
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-6	19	14.7	15.8	-1.04	16.8	15.5	1.25
Kendrick Perkins	63	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	0	7	14.6	15.9	-1.33	16.2	16.9	-0.72
Paul Pierce	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-6	19	14.3	17.5	-3.17	16.7	15.6	1.04
Ray Allen	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	3	1	15.2	14.3	0.82	16.3	17.5	-1.23
Rasheed Wallace	29	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	10	-13	15.9	14.6	1.33	17.1	16.1	1.00
Brian Scalabrine	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	13	-19	15.8	14.7	1.04	15.5	16.8	-1.25
Eddie House	26	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	11	-15	16.9	14.3	2.65	15.9	16.7	-0.87
Marquis Daniels	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	15	-23	15.6	14.7	0.94	16.5	16.4	0.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	22	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-15	23	14.6	17.1	-2.47	14.0	15.4	-1.44
DeJuan Blair	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-17	27	16.5	16.4	0.16	15.5	14.7	0.80
Matt Bonner	38	39	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-13	19	17.6	15.7	1.87	16.2	14.2	1.97
George Hill	28	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	15.4	16.9	-1.49	15.5	14.8	0.61
Manu Ginobili	34	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-7	7	15.1	17.2	-2.10	14.2	15.6	-1.34
Roger Mason Jr.	32	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-8	9	17.3	16.0	1.26	14.6	15.2	-0.62
Keith Bogans	27	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	9	-25	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Antonio McDyess	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	7	-21	16.1	16.8	-0.72	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Richard Jefferson	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	1	-9	17.6	13.6	3.98	16.1	12.6	3.47
Tim Duncan	63	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	3	-13	16.3	16.8	-0.47	14.3	16.5	-2.18
Tony Parker	67	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	2	-11	16.8	15.6	1.19	15.2	14.4	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	95.2%
NYK 101, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
ATL 90, TOR 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.4%