NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	4.5 [882]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +12.7%
Toronto Raptors	79		Comeback	1.1 [1104]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -12.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	9	83%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ivano Newbill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Henry James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	15	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.02	-0.04	10	52%	0.04	6	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	28	58%	0.10	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	89%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	14	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	28.4	15.6	21.5	2.4	23.6	116.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.0%

ATL +9.3%

ATL +13.4%

ATL +1.3%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	19.3	15.9	15.6	109.8	96.3	104.4
season	16.4	16.1		105.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	16.0		105.6	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	15.8	21.8	27.4	19.3
TOR	15.8	14.8	17.2	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	72	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-8	27	18.8	22.8	-4.04	16.6	10.7	5.88
Mookie Blaylock	72	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-5	21	19.1	20.6	-1.53	16.3	12.6	3.72
Steven Smith	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	0	11	19.9	11.7	8.19	15.9	15.1	0.79
Dikembe Mutombo	64	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	4	3	20.0	16.7	3.25	15.5	17.3	-1.88
Tyrone Corbin	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	6	-1	20.5	13.9	6.60	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Alan Henderson	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	8	-5	17.9	19.8	-1.89	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Henry James	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	9	-7	12.2	20.6	-8.35	16.7	15.7	0.98
Ivano Newbill	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	24.7	18.8	5.84	16.7	15.8	0.86
Eldridge Recasner	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	16	-21	17.2	19.7	-2.49	13.7	16.4	-2.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Respert	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	15.9	15.9	0.02	18.2	19.7	-1.48
Carlos Rogers	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-13	15	15.5	15.9	-0.48	23.9	18.5	5.46
Oliver Miller	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-12	13	15.0	17.0	-2.02	21.0	17.0	4.07
Clifford Rozier	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	17.0	15.4	1.54	18.4	19.6	-1.19
Popeye Jones	32	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-5	-1	15.1	16.3	-1.22	15.2	21.8	-6.62
Doug Christie	71	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-11	11	15.3	19.8	-4.56	19.5	17.7	1.77
Marcus Camby	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-7	3	15.9	16.0	-0.15	19.9	13.7	6.28
Damon Stoudamire	65	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.07	-21	10	-31	16.4	13.8	2.58	19.0	20.5	-1.55
Walt Williams	63	62	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.01	-24	13	-37	16.7	13.1	3.59	19.1	19.8	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
IND 106, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIN 95, DEN 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%