inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 95 Excitement4.6 [918] MVPKarl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +17.0%
Denver Nuggets 78 Comeback1.1 [540] LVPJameer Nelson (DEN): -13.1%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0.170,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.040.021962%0.191-0.02786%0.02
Kevin Martin0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.030.01958%0.082-0.04683%0.01
Kevin Garnett0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01350%0.0300.002100%0.01
Gorgui Dieng-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02333%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02243%0.012-0.0230%-0.05
Zach LaVine-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01662%0.064-0.084100%0.01
Ricky Rubio-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01848%0.022-0.04989%0.04
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shabazz Muhammad-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.010.041350%0.014-0.101080%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.01762%0.0600.002100%0.01
Erick Green00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.011441%-0.0000.00683%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.051037%-0.012-0.03475%-0.00
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04862%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.04721%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.01-0.041542%0.014-0.06650%-0.03
Gary Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01825%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.020.021336%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.01-0.001015%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.635.215.435.32.731.6147.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +42.3%
MIN +16.3%
DEN -7.6%
DEN -4.9%
MIN +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game14.914.214.996.978.0105.1
season14.814.9104.8104.3
opponent14.915.0107.8108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.314.512.618.814.9
DEN15.112.716.212.814.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince59590.460.040.43-0.1822-52714.715.3-0.5715.012.92.13
Ricky Rubio59610.410.090.32-0.2121-42514.615.4-0.7415.512.13.37
Karl-Anthony Towns67680.350.150.20-0.091521314.815.2-0.3715.112.13.08
Kevin Garnett45440.340.160.18-0.131611515.014.90.1515.812.92.88
Andrew Wiggins61620.280.220.05-0.131431114.815.2-0.4515.312.33.02
Nemanja Bjelica53560.160.34-0.180.13116-1514.915.0-0.1512.915.8-2.88
Gorgui Dieng29290.150.35-0.200.15017-1714.715.0-0.3512.414.9-2.46
Shabazz Muhammad34350.150.35-0.200.12116-1515.914.51.4012.515.1-2.58
Kevin Martin44470.110.39-0.270.14-118-1915.114.80.3212.415.7-3.23
Zach LaVine39390.090.41-0.320.21-421-2515.414.60.7412.115.5-3.37

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic38360.05-0.550.59-0.2510-273712.715.0-2.3417.013.83.21
Erick Green320.00-0.500.500.06-2-15138.714.3-5.6622.514.87.72
Mike Miller1918-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-222713.014.4-1.4317.314.42.93
Joffrey Lauvergne3333-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-12716.513.03.4213.915.5-1.55
Jameer Nelson5454-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-202313.315.2-1.9615.114.70.38
Randy Foye1918-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-10312.414.6-2.2114.415.0-0.61
Will Barton6461-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-12713.016.3-3.3515.414.21.16
Gary Harris3534-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-1-1515.913.22.6115.614.61.08
Darrell Arthur5554-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.11-6-11512.915.7-2.7415.314.50.88
Emmanuel Mudiay5455-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-4-915.213.02.1914.415.6-1.19
Kenneth Faried5555-0.48-0.02-0.450.23-247-3115.612.43.1213.816.3-2.51
Danilo Gallinari7170-0.590.09-0.680.15-258-3314.912.32.6513.817.8-4.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 99, CLE 960.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%
LAL 115, LAC 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
ORL 96, MIA 740.5,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%