NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	4.2 [1001]		MVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): +16.9%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.0 [332]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (NYK): -17.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.00	20	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	11	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	75%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	7	81%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	2	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	15	64%	0.09	3	-0.06	14	86%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	22	50%	-0.00	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	12	12%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	14	30%	-0.10	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	32.8	16.8	33.5	2.5	30.2	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.1%

IND +4.3%

NYK -18.7%

IND +4.2%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.5	114.0	97.9	105.7
season	14.7	14.3		103.1	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		108.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	16.0	11.6	19.0	15.1
NYK	15.7	16.0	16.0	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	73	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-10	33	14.7	16.5	-1.79	15.8	14.8	0.99
Tyler Hansbrough	77	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	15.4	13.6	1.85	16.0	13.6	2.38
Roy Hibbert	49	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.2	15.0	0.14	17.2	13.5	3.74
Dahntay Jones	56	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	-1	15	15.1	15.0	0.12	15.8	15.1	0.70
Brandon Rush	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	7	-1	15.6	13.5	2.15	14.8	17.5	-2.69
Josh McRoberts	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	5	3	13.2	16.1	-2.86	13.8	16.5	-2.73
Paul George	23	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	6	1	13.5	15.6	-2.15	17.5	14.8	2.69
James Posey	37	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	14	-15	15.0	15.1	-0.12	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Jeff Foster	28	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	22	-31	16.2	14.6	1.65	13.2	16.5	-3.24
A.J. Price	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	23	-33	16.5	14.7	1.79	14.8	15.8	-0.99

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-20	27	14.6	15.7	-1.09	17.2	14.8	2.47
Ronny Turiaf	39	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-15	17	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.2	15.0	0.25
Roger Mason Jr.	23	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-6	-1	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.9	15.2	-0.25
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-13	13	15.4	15.8	-0.37	15.6	13.7	1.90
Toney Douglas	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-8	3	13.9	17.8	-4.00	15.5	14.5	1.05
Jared Jeffries	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-3	-7	17.5	14.3	3.24	13.8	15.9	-2.14
Shawne Williams	61	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-9	5	14.0	18.3	-4.25	15.9	13.5	2.40
Landry Fields	47	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	0	-13	17.1	14.0	3.02	13.2	16.8	-3.59
Chauncey Billups	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	3	-19	16.4	13.5	2.96	14.9	15.5	-0.53
Carmelo Anthony	69	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	6	-25	15.6	15.4	0.16	15.1	15.0	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIN 95, CHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
BOS 101, NOK 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%