NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	2.2 [1277]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +11.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	90		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Ronald Murray (CHA): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.25	0.00	0.14	9	96%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.04	10	91%	0.10	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	73%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	36%	0.01	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	57%	0.02	5	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	0.02	0.10	9	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	5	86%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	83%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.06	10	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	12	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	36.3	15.4	28.3	1.8	31.2	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.7%

BOS +6.7%

BOS +1.3%

BOS +0.2%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.1	15.3	121.3	101.1	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		105.7	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.7		101.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.5	15.8	19.2	16.2
CHA	18.2	15.8	16.2	14.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	64	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.06	19	-1	20	14.9	19.5	-4.60	17.2	13.8	3.35
Ray Allen	65	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	-2	22	15.9	17.0	-1.02	16.1	16.3	-0.18
Kendrick Perkins	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	0	18	14.5	19.3	-4.79	16.7	15.2	1.45
Rajon Rondo	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	-1	20	15.0	18.7	-3.67	16.5	15.3	1.20
Kevin Garnett	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	0	18	14.6	18.3	-3.73	16.8	15.2	1.59
Eddie House	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	16	-14	18.8	14.9	3.95	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Rasheed Wallace	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	18	-18	20.2	14.5	5.70	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Marquis Daniels	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	22	-26	19.3	13.9	5.37	15.1	17.0	-1.95
Shelden Williams	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.17	-3	21	-24	18.2	14.7	3.44	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Brian Scalabrine	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	15.0	16.3	-1.30	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Lester Hudson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	14.4	16.3	-1.92	13.2	16.3	-3.03
J.R. Giddens	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	14.4	16.3	-1.92	13.2	16.3	-3.03

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	21	22	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-31	44	15.1	16.5	-1.38	20.9	14.7	6.18
Derrick Brown	12	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-14	10	16.7	16.1	0.60	15.1	16.4	-1.38
D.J. Augustin	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-19	20	14.3	17.0	-2.66	18.3	15.3	3.02
Nazr Mohammed	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-14	10	15.8	16.4	-0.67	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Gerald Wallace	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-15	12	15.9	16.5	-0.66	16.9	15.3	1.57
Stephen Graham	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-13	8	15.7	16.5	-0.81	17.6	15.1	2.47
Ronald Murray	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-4	-10	15.7	16.6	-0.84	15.4	17.1	-1.74
Tyson Chandler	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-4	-10	16.7	15.5	1.18	17.3	14.9	2.39
Boris Diaw	47	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	0	-18	16.9	15.3	1.54	15.3	17.2	-1.97
Raymond Felton	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	3	-24	16.5	15.4	1.09	15.2	18.2	-2.95
Stephen Jackson	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	3	-24	17.1	14.6	2.43	14.4	19.1	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
HOU 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
HOU 115, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	97.3%