NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	2.8 [1207]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +16.8%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.1 [630]		LVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): -7.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.25	0.00	0.09	18	76%	0.17	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.01
James Harden	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	31	59%	0.14	4	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	10	60%	0.05	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Gary Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	0.00	0.09	8	95%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	11	80%	0.08	4	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.12	0.00	0.11	8	78%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	24%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	15	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.6	29.3	14.5	30.4	3.3	29.7	135.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.8%

HOU +1.9%

HOU +4.8%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	16.5	13.7	14.3	121.1	108.3	109.3
season	14.8	13.9		114.0	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.3	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.8	14.4	16.7	22.3	16.5
BOS	14.5	15.0	12.6	12.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	76	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	16.4	16.8	-0.34	14.5	10.7	3.83
Eric Gordon	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-3	17	16.5	16.6	-0.17	13.8	13.2	0.67
PJ Tucker	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-2	15	16.4	17.2	-0.87	13.9	12.4	1.51
Clint Capela	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	12	-13	17.4	14.5	2.93	13.4	14.2	-0.74
Austin Rivers	48	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	10	-9	17.4	15.7	1.69	13.2	14.1	-0.90
Nene	29	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	-1	13	14.5	17.4	-2.93	14.2	13.4	0.74
Chris Paul	70	70	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	10	-9	16.7	15.9	0.81	12.5	16.9	-4.43
Gerald Green	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	8	-5	15.0	17.1	-2.17	14.5	13.3	1.21
Gary Clark	12	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	13	-15	17.2	16.4	0.74	12.5	13.8	-1.32

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-18	25	14.1	13.6	0.56	18.7	16.1	2.69
Aron Baynes	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-10	9	15.0	13.2	1.74	14.8	17.1	-2.38
Terry Rozier	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-10	9	13.5	13.8	-0.29	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Jaylen Brown	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-16	21	13.1	14.5	-1.45	17.4	15.3	2.14
Gordon Hayward	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-11	11	13.3	13.9	-0.58	16.2	16.7	-0.58
Marcus Morris	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	-15	4	-19	14.8	13.0	1.84	15.4	17.1	-1.72
Al Horford	62	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	12.7	15.4	-2.63	17.1	15.5	1.54
Jayson Tatum	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-8	5	14.0	12.9	1.03	17.6	13.9	3.67
Kyrie Irving	72	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	6	-23	14.0	12.7	1.32	15.7	18.7	-2.94
Marcus Smart	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.12	-20	9	-29	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.9	18.4	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
UTA 103, MEM 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
HOU 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%