NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	3.1 [1151]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.6%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.0 [954]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -9.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.02	0.07	14	76%	0.20	2	-0.03	13	85%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.08	10	41%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	67%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	9	30%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	11	25%	-0.04	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	16	47%	-0.05	3	-0.04	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	31.5	16.4	26.5	2.4	29.2	135.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.4%

DAL +10.3%

DAL +13.0%

DAL +1.6%

IND -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	12.8	15.3	117.7	95.8	106.0
season	15.2	14.2		107.2	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		105.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.7	16.8	14.8	21.0	17.2
IND	12.8	11.3	15.9	11.3	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.33	25	-4	29	16.7	18.0	-1.29	13.0	12.5	0.47
Tim Thomas	23	23	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.18	19	2	17	16.5	17.4	-0.90	11.9	13.1	-1.16
Dirk Nowitzki	62	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	3	15	16.2	19.0	-2.82	13.4	11.7	1.67
Kris Humphries	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	13	-5	19.2	15.5	3.77	11.2	14.3	-3.15
Jose Juan Barea	44	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	13	-5	19.2	15.5	3.77	11.2	14.3	-3.15
James Singleton	45	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	12	-3	17.6	16.9	0.70	12.0	13.6	-1.63
Shawn Marion	61	60	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	11	-1	16.4	18.6	-2.24	13.6	11.4	2.16
Jason Kidd	54	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	13	-5	15.9	19.0	-3.10	13.8	11.6	2.23
Rodrigue Beaubois	35	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	20	-19	17.6	17.0	0.57	13.1	12.6	0.51
Drew Gooden	39	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	18	-15	16.2	17.9	-1.73	14.5	11.7	2.78
Matt Carroll	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	21.6	16.5	5.11	11.7	13.0	-1.26

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	34	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-23	25	10.6	14.0	-3.37	17.2	17.2	-0.04
Luther Head	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	14.1	12.4	1.72	19.7	16.5	3.21
Tyler Hansbrough	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-17	13	11.5	13.0	-1.55	17.2	17.2	-0.04
Brandon Rush	56	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-23	25	11.7	14.2	-2.50	17.5	16.8	0.66
Roy Hibbert	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.20	-12	-9	-3	14.2	12.3	1.94	15.8	17.7	-1.83
Solomon Jones	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-16	11	12.6	12.9	-0.28	18.6	16.8	1.81
T.J. Ford	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-16	11	12.8	12.8	-0.07	16.6	18.0	-1.42
Jeff Foster	32	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.21	-17	-4	-13	13.4	12.5	0.92	16.4	17.6	-1.26
Earl Watson	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.22	-18	-3	-15	13.0	12.7	0.30	17.3	17.1	0.25
Dahntay Jones	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-3	-15	13.4	12.3	1.11	18.0	16.4	1.55
Troy Murphy	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-9	-3	12.7	12.9	-0.13	17.2	17.3	-0.08
Danny Granger	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	3	-27	13.4	10.4	2.96	16.6	19.5	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 123, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAS 120, SEA 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
UTA 114, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%