NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	2.9 [1152]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +8.1%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.3 [1180]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -9.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	18	64%	0.10	3	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
John Stockton	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	87%	0.06	4	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	4	137%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	63%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	13	57%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.02	3	-0.03	10	70%	-0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	9	62%	0.01	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	37%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	25.3	15.7	32.0	1.8	29.0	131.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.6%

UTA +3.4%

UTA +1.1%

UTA +15.1%

GSW -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.6	120.0	108.7	104.4
season	15.6	15.0		110.8	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.0		109.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	14.2	13.8	17.9	15.1
GSW	17.1	15.2	15.7	14.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	33	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	5	4	16.0	14.6	1.32	16.2	15.4	0.75
Greg Ostertag	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	0	14	14.9	15.4	-0.60	16.3	14.8	1.47
Karl Malone	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.27	21	-7	28	14.6	16.1	-1.56	16.1	14.9	1.26
Bryon Russell	78	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-2	18	14.8	16.7	-1.95	15.9	15.1	0.79
Jeff Hornacek	72	68	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	2	10	14.4	17.2	-2.79	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Howard Eisley	27	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	2	10	14.9	15.2	-0.25	15.7	15.7	-0.07
John Stockton	68	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	12	-10	15.2	14.9	0.25	15.7	15.7	0.07
Greg Foster	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.26	-3	17	-20	16.7	14.7	2.00	14.2	16.2	-1.96
Adam Keefe	40	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	14	-14	15.4	14.9	0.60	14.8	16.3	-1.47
Antoine Carr	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	14	-14	13.5	15.2	-1.68	17.0	15.6	1.35
Chris Morris	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	23	-32	21.9	14.6	7.29	13.7	15.9	-2.16
Stephen Howard	8	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	18	-22	16.0	15.0	0.98	15.8	15.7	0.14

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Owes	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-23	32	14.8	16.0	-1.17	17.9	14.3	3.65
Scott Burrell	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-18	22	14.5	16.2	-1.73	17.1	14.2	2.88
Todd Fuller	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	18.2	15.4	2.79	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Andrew DeClercq	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-17	20	14.5	17.6	-3.11	15.4	14.7	0.74
Felton Spencer	32	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-5	-4	17.5	14.8	2.70	15.2	15.0	0.23
Donyell Marshall	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	4	-22	17.4	14.6	2.81	13.9	15.9	-1.94
Joe Smith	61	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	0	-14	15.8	15.6	0.14	14.6	16.1	-1.42
Mark Price	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	3	-20	16.3	14.8	1.45	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Chris Mullin	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	14.8	17.5	-2.68	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Latrell Sprewell	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	4	-22	16.2	14.5	1.73	14.2	17.1	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 111, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	96.3%
ORL 118, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DAL 113, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%