inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement4.9 [815] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +19.5%
Atlanta Hawks 105 Comeback1.4 [1018] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -12.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daequan Cook0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.030.02-0.061043%0.081-0.021100%0.01
James Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.003100%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05760%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.051150%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Michael Beasley-0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.010.041558%0.044-0.07683%0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.030.00850%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.02350%-0.011-0.03475%-0.00
Shavlik Randolph-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.011839%-0.014-0.12250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.190.040.032167%0.2000.003100%0.02
Al Horford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.020.051067%0.0600.004100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.02-0.041040%0.052-0.04560%-0.02
Mike Bibby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.021041%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01360%0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.010.031250%-0.001-0.01475%-0.01
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.03-0.051642%0.024-0.09667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.01.828.315.627.02.533.2139.4
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +11.4%
ATL +9.7%
ATL +11.3%
ATL +17.0%
ATL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game16.016.015.3100.0116.7106.0
season16.216.0104.4109.4
opponent15.815.4106.0102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.215.515.016.516.0
ATL16.215.216.316.316.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook5250-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-182115.816.3-0.5515.916.1-0.26
Joel Anthony3432-0.06-0.440.38-0.122-171916.715.61.0515.716.1-0.35
Shavlik Randolph3128-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-151515.816.2-0.3814.716.5-1.78
James Jones1920-0.14-0.360.21-0.08-2-131117.215.71.5117.715.52.28
Mario Chalmers5253-0.24-0.260.01-0.10-5-10516.315.60.7716.814.82.03
Carlos Arroyo3837-0.26-0.24-0.010.04-10-5-515.616.3-0.7714.816.8-2.03
Dwyane Wade7171-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-14-1-1315.717.2-1.5115.617.4-1.83
Quentin Richardson3839-0.43-0.07-0.350.07-172-1916.315.80.5515.916.0-0.10
Michael Beasley5962-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-150-1516.215.80.3816.514.71.78
Jermaine O'Neal5658-0.44-0.06-0.380.06-172-1915.616.7-1.0516.115.70.35

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Crawford55550.57-0.070.65-0.0120-52514.518.3-3.7315.916.2-0.29
Josh Smith66650.52-0.020.53-0.0720-52516.015.90.1416.514.81.64
Joe Johnson73730.51-0.010.52-0.0519-42315.617.5-1.9115.916.4-0.48
Mike Bibby62610.350.150.20-0.00123916.215.50.6915.916.3-0.43
Al Horford59580.320.180.15-0.03123916.215.50.7515.916.3-0.40
Zaza Pachulia31330.190.31-0.110.10312-915.916.0-0.1617.215.31.88
Maurice Evans15170.100.40-0.310.01312-917.115.81.3117.515.71.86
Jeff Teague440.000.50-0.500.03-116-1717.015.91.0721.015.85.21
Randolph Morris320.000.50-0.500.03-116-1716.716.00.7118.516.02.53
Joe Smith2021-0.020.52-0.530.10-419-2315.616.1-0.4213.716.7-3.07
Marvin Williams6261-0.040.54-0.590.19-823-3117.013.73.2315.417.4-2.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 86, CLE 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,194.8%
CHI 101, CLE 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.99,194.6%
PHI 105, TOR 1130.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%