NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	5.2 [786]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): +17.8%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	1.3 [1201]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (PHI): -17.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Long	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	58%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	15	64%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	7	25%	-0.09	6	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	17	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	63%	0.10	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	27.3	14.8	24.2	2.3	35.5	129.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.0%

PHI -9.0%

TOR +7.7%

TOR +17.5%

TOR +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.8	109.4	117.7	107.7
season	14.5	15.2		101.9	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		106.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	16.0	15.7	11.4	14.6
TOR	12.8	14.6	17.9	16.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	46	49	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-13	18	15.8	13.5	2.28	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Tiago Splitter	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	13.5	14.8	-1.22	14.3	15.6	-1.27
Dario Saric	48	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	15.3	13.9	1.48	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Shawn Long	38	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-10	12	13.9	15.1	-1.16	16.3	14.9	1.44
Gerald Henderson	39	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-6	4	13.8	15.2	-1.39	16.5	14.7	1.79
T.J. McConnell	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Richaun Holmes	45	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	6	-20	15.5	13.8	1.68	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	71	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	0	-8	14.5	14.9	-0.39	15.0	16.5	-1.46
Alex Poythress	48	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	2	-12	13.9	15.3	-1.48	15.6	15.3	0.31
Nik Stauskas	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	4	-16	14.6	14.5	0.11	15.5	15.2	0.29

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	65	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	-7	22	14.9	16.4	-1.50	15.0	13.8	1.22
Serge Ibaka	56	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-3	14	14.3	17.0	-2.69	15.5	13.2	2.33
Jonas Valanciunas	55	56	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-4	16	14.5	16.7	-2.19	15.6	13.1	2.48
DeMar DeRozan	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	1	6	14.9	16.3	-1.34	15.4	13.1	2.24
Delon Wright	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	15.9	14.8	1.17	13.5	15.9	-2.34
Norman Powell	39	39	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	7	-6	15.9	15.1	0.83	14.7	14.5	0.25
Patrick Patterson	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	5	-2	16.5	14.8	1.69	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Fred VanVleet	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	10	-12	16.7	14.9	1.82	11.4	15.7	-4.32
Jakob Poeltl	40	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	11	-14	17.0	14.3	2.69	13.2	15.5	-2.33
DeMarre Carroll	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	6	-4	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.8	13.5	2.27
Pascal Siakam	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	17.4	15.2	2.18	11.5	14.8	-3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.62,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 90, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
GSW 81, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%