NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	72		Excitement	5.4 [725]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +13.5%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	3.0 [1083]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -19.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Sean Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Boone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.01	-0.07	17	29%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	20	40%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.04	12	15%	-0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.01	-0.01	14	65%	0.14	1	0.00	12	50%	-0.08
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.02	12	56%	0.06	2	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.04	0.05	14	48%	-0.03	5	-0.13	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	30.4	16.4	30.5	2.5	26.2	135.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.6%

ORL +1.7%

ORL +0.8%

ORL +9.5%

NJN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.3	75.8	98.9	106.0
season	15.9	15.4		98.7	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.0		101.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.2	15.6	16.6	15.3	16.2
ORL	16.3	14.3	13.9	16.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	36	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.16	10	-26	36	14.7	17.0	-2.27	15.6	14.9	0.72
Josh Boone	11	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-13	10	17.3	16.0	1.26	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Eduardo Najera	24	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-9	2	15.1	16.5	-1.38	15.4	15.0	0.46
Chris Douglas-Roberts	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-7	-2	17.5	15.4	2.10	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Terrence Williams	73	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-7	-2	16.1	16.3	-0.15	15.5	13.8	1.71
Trenton Hassell	79	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	16.3	15.2	1.09	15.5	13.2	2.30
Rafer Alston	84	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	15.4	21.8	-6.40	15.2	14.5	0.65
Bobby Simmons	74	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-3	-10	16.4	15.4	1.00	14.6	16.6	-1.97
Brook Lopez	59	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.13	-26	10	-36	17.0	14.7	2.27	14.9	15.6	-0.72

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	72	77	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.02	21	-5	26	14.2	18.8	-4.59	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Jameer Nelson	60	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	15.2	14.8	0.42	15.6	17.3	-1.79
JJ Redick	64	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.05	14	2	12	14.9	15.8	-0.90	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Dwight Howard	66	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	5	6	15.0	15.4	-0.43	15.6	17.7	-2.13
Mickael Pietrus	68	74	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	6	4	15.7	13.2	2.52	16.0	16.7	-0.65
Vince Carter	63	67	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	13	-10	15.7	13.6	2.11	16.9	14.5	2.40
Marcin Gortat	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	11	-6	15.4	15.0	0.43	17.7	15.6	2.13
Jason Williams	29	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	16	-16	14.8	15.2	-0.42	17.3	15.6	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 79, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 103, DAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%