NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	5.2 [775]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +18.9%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	2.9 [980]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -12.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	89%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	63%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	5	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	22	52%	0.03	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	19	43%	0.04	7	-0.14	8	75%	0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.24	0.05	0.10	20	72%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	24	61%	0.20	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	81%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.4	16.6	29.1	1.0	35.0	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.0%

WAS -1.7%

DAL +5.2%

DAL +25.7%

DAL +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.5	106.2	122.7	106.4
season	15.9	15.6		103.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.1	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	15.6	15.8	13.6	14.7
DAL	16.0	13.8	14.2	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	21	20	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-19	22	16.0	14.4	1.67	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Javaris Crittenton	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-18	20	13.9	15.3	-1.39	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Darius Songaila	42	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-11	6	14.1	15.2	-1.14	16.2	13.8	2.38
Dominic McGuire	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-5	-6	14.8	14.6	0.27	15.0	14.8	0.20
Caron Butler	84	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-7	-2	14.7	14.7	0.06	15.3	12.8	2.53
Andray Blatche	45	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-5	-6	16.5	13.2	3.26	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Antawn Jamison	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-1	-14	14.1	18.8	-4.73	15.2	13.2	2.03
Nick Young	36	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	0	-16	15.2	14.4	0.81	12.6	16.4	-3.72
Mike James	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	2	-20	14.5	15.2	-0.71	15.6	13.4	2.19

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-3	22	15.8	11.1	4.64	15.3	12.2	3.09
Jason Kidd	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-5	26	14.8	15.5	-0.68	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Antoine Wright	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-4	24	14.8	15.2	-0.31	14.4	15.4	-0.99
Brandon Bass	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-2	20	13.5	16.5	-2.99	14.2	15.3	-1.13
Jason Terry	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	1	14	14.2	17.0	-2.76	14.5	15.5	-1.09
Devean George	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	9	-2	16.0	13.9	2.08	15.8	13.6	2.14
Erick Dampier	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	16	-16	16.6	13.8	2.77	14.8	14.7	0.06
Jose Juan Barea	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	21	-26	15.5	14.8	0.68	17.7	14.1	3.59
James Singleton	24	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	21	-26	12.5	15.7	-3.20	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Gerald Green	8	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	26	-36	15.9	14.9	1.01	13.7	14.9	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 81, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
OKC 94, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHX 87, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%