NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	93		Excitement	5.3 [730]		MVP	Matt Carroll (CHA): +24.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	108		Comeback	2.6 [543]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -11.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	1	86%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	16	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	15	34%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.11	0.05	12	81%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.02	-0.04	13	68%	0.22	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.03	-0.05	13	46%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	34.4	15.6	24.4	1.8	28.3	133.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.9%

ATL -4.6%

CHA +6.1%

CHA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.4	97.9	112.5	105.7
season	15.4	15.8		104.2	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.8	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.8	14.3	15.3	16.1	14.6
CHA	16.0	15.1	13.5	18.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-18	21	9.1	15.4	-6.28	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Solomon Jones	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	9.2	14.8	-5.55	16.5	15.5	0.96
Salim Stoudamire	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-14	13	11.4	15.2	-3.77	16.9	15.3	1.65
Josh Childress	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-12	9	13.2	15.8	-2.52	16.1	15.1	0.99
Zaza Pachulia	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-13	11	14.8	14.4	0.32	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Al Horford	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-3	-9	15.0	13.8	1.23	15.9	15.0	0.89
Mike Bibby	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-4	-7	15.4	10.8	4.63	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Marvin Williams	69	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	1	-17	14.9	13.6	1.31	15.1	17.0	-1.94
Joe Johnson	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	-1	-13	15.5	10.6	4.95	15.7	15.3	0.40
Josh Smith	80	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	4	-23	14.6	14.5	0.04	15.7	14.6	1.10

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-1	17	15.6	15.3	0.38	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Jared Dudley	78	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-1	17	15.4	16.4	-1.06	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Jason Richardson	76	74	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	4	7	15.6	15.5	0.11	14.6	14.4	0.18
Raymond Felton	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	4	7	16.0	13.8	2.24	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Emeka Okafor	74	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	3	9	15.9	14.6	1.23	14.9	13.6	1.32
Earl Boykins	35	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	6	3	15.0	15.9	-0.87	15.3	14.1	1.19
Othella Harrington	19	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	11	-7	14.7	15.8	-1.12	14.2	14.7	-0.42
Nazr Mohammed	25	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	16	-17	15.8	15.5	0.35	15.2	14.3	0.91
Ryan Hollins	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	14.3	15.6	-1.29	9.0	14.7	-5.75
Jermareo Davidson	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	17	-19	14.6	15.7	-1.14	13.1	14.8	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 72, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
POR 83, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%